Top 4 Worst March Madness Against the Spread TeamsJosh Bailey
With the lines now out for every first-round game, along with the First Four matchups, we are going to review how every team performed against the spread this season. Here are the worst teams to bet on against the spread (ATS) heading into the 2016 NCAA March Madness Basketball Tournament.
Should You Bet On Any Of The Top 4 Worst March Madness Against the Spread Teams?
- Oklahoma, 12-18 ATS – The 2 seed in the West Bracket has been horrible ATS this season. The Sooners actually started out hot against the spread going 6 and 1 ATS in their first 7 games. But the Sooners quickly fell apart after that. The lack of scoring outside of any player not named Buddy Hield has led Oklahoma to a ridiculously bad 2 and 8 ATS record in their last 10 games. The Sooners are 0 and 5 ATS in their last 5.
- Duke, 13-17-2 ATS –How crazy is it that the Blue Devils are at 25 to 1 to win the NCAA Tournament even though the best that they could do was garner a 4 seed in the West? Why, by the way, is Duke a 4 seed? The Blue Devils lost 10 games this season. No matter. Duke is likely to get thumped in the sports book if their 0 and 5 record ATS in their last 5 games is any indication of how they’re going to play in the Big Dance. The Dookies couldn’t cover spreads versus NC State, Wake Forest, or Notre Dame in 3 out of their last 5 games as the favorite.
- Notre Dame, 14-15-1 ATS – Speaking of Notre Dame, the Irish went 3 and 4 ATS in their last 7 games this season. Notre Dame will be favored over Tulsa or Michigan, whom they play this week. They’re a bet against ATS. If Notre Dame manages to make it to the Round of 32, they’ll most likely battle one of the best teams against the spread in the NCAA Tournament, the West Virginia Mountaineers. The Irish will be a bet against again over the weekend.
- Indiana, 17-15 ATS – I put Indiana on my list as one of the worst March Madness against the spread teams to bet because the Hoosiers are a classic home court advantage squad. Indiana went 12 and 5 ATS in home games during the season. They went 4 and 6 ATS in away games. They also lost 69 to 72 straight up to Michigan, who has to beat Tulsa in order to make it to the Round of 64 this week, in their first game in the Big Ten Tournament as the #1 seed. That’s a terrible sign. Indiana lives and dies via the three-point shot. Since their first round opponent, Chattanooga, allows 32% from three per game, the Hoosiers may not make it out of the first round.
I hope these betting trends will help you make some big bucks against the spread in this year’s NCAA March Madness Basketball Tournament. Happy hunting!