You would have to be crazy genius to attempt to master all of the betting nuances for the NCAA’s annual college basketball tournament. That’s part of why it’s called March Madness and that is why, along with my 2015 March Madness bracket busting trends, every gambler needs to my top 5 NCAA tourney betting tips.
The NCAA basketball betting odds of picking all the winners among the 68 teams in this year’s men’s college hoops tournament is an insane 1 in 9.2 quintillion, according to a DePaul University math professor. That is roughly equivalent to winning the Mega Millions lottery jackpot twice in a row.
Keep reading for my top 2015 March Madness betting advice every gambler should know:
- Don’t hand the trophy over to Kentucky just yet – Kentucky is the best team in the nation. They are undefeated. But they didn’t play a single team this season where they didn’t match up well. North Carolina, Texas and UCLA weren’t as good as they usually are. Kentucky only beat Louisville by 8 points, 58 to 50. Duke beat Louisville 63 to 52 on the road. Notre Dame beat Louisville 71 to 59 on the road. The Wildcats also played in a weak conference, the SEC.
- Bet on teams with great guards – Stand out guards do well in the NCAA Tournament. Duke has the best guard tandem in college basketball with Quinn Cook and Tyus Jones. Arizona has the best pure point-guard in the tournament with T.J. McConnell and Notre Dame might have the best overall guard in the nation in Jerian Grant. Those teams could excel in the tournament.
- Underdogs rule ATS – Underdogs do very well in the first round. If you just wagered on 12 seeds against the spread versus 5 seeds, you’d have scored 20 out of 30 times. 12 versus 5 ATS is the strongest betting trend in the first round.
- Lay off Villanova if they get the top seed in the West – Villanova could very well get the top seed in the West Region. That’s worse for Jay Wright’s squad than if they garnered a 2 seed in the East. Nobody wants to travel when playing in the NCAA Tournament. It’s also likely that Arizona gets the 2 seed in the West if Villanova gets the 1 seed. Sounds like the perfect set up for the Tucson Cats as opposed to the Philly Cats if that happens.
- Virginia might be vulnerable in the first or second round – The Virginia Cavaliers could be vulnerable in the first round if they get a 2 seed. They will be vulnerable in the second round for sure if they get a 1 seed. The issue is with Justin Anderson. He is so important to the Cavs on both offense and defense that he’ll need to be 100% for Virginia to make a real splash in the NCAA Tournament. Anderson is coming off of an appendectomy. That’s tough to recover from and play at 100%.