The opening lines for both games this Saturday were released late Sunday, and since then there hasn’t been much movement in the updated Las Vegas Final Four betting odds. Let’s study these incremental shifts so you can understand how the market views these two, awesome games.
What are Today’s Las Vegas Odds For The The UConn Huskies Vs Florida Gators Final Four Matchup?
Some of the updated Las Vegas Final Four betting odds have shaved this game down to FLA -6.0 with a TOTAL of 125.0 but that will likely be corrected back up to FLA -6.5 by the time the weekend warriors have their say. The only part that’s moved since this line opened last weekend has been the total, which increased from 125.0 to 126.5. That’s where almost every single book has it right now.
When a number doesn’t budge all that much, you know the oddsmakers have done a great job. Most of the action leans towards UConn, but only barely, and there’s enough heavy hitters leaning on Florida’s defensive prowess to keep this line where it is.
It’s worth pointing out that the number crunchers behind the books have had Florida in their sight lines for the entire season, largely because they’re a huge public bet. The Gators went undefeated at 10-0 SU in their final ten games leading in to the post season, but finished the year 5-5 ATS. In tournament play they’re just 4-3 ATS and 2-2 ATS in the NCAA Tournament. The only game where the oddsmakers were way off was the 72-49 beating Florida handed Missouri in the quarterfinals of the SEC Championship, which had a -11.5 handicap for Donovan’s boys.
So I wouldn’t expect the updated Las Vegas Final Four betting odds to shift that much when it comes to this game. Florida is exceptional at controlling the pace of their contests and the oddsmakers seem very comfortable holding this handicap where it is. Of course, like most gamblers out there, Shabazz Napier and the UConn Huskies might have something to say about that and their 4-0 ATS run in the NCAA Tournament has seen a sudden rise in their ceiling.
Will it last? We’ll see on Saturday…but I think that Shabazz is on a whole different level which is why my lean is on UConn
What are Today’s Las Vegas Odds For The The Kentucky Wildcats Vs Wisconsin Badgers Final Four Matchup?
This is a game that nobody can seem to agree on. Action is split down the middle, and an opening line of KU -2.5 has been batted around all week. The consensus in the updated Las Vegas Final Four betting odds seems to be KU -2.0 but it is appearing at -1.5 in some books. The only element that isn’t fluttering around is the total which opened at 139.5 and has hung there all week.
Nobody can seem to make up their mind on this game for the simple reason that there are too many variables. Kentucky is far more talented, but they have never played this consistently at any point during the season. An insane 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS record in tournament play has been built on a lot of close games. There seems to be a ton of fight in these Wildcats and that’s what most people seem to be betting on.
But just as many gamblers are hedging that Frank Kaminsky is the real deal as well. Kaminsky has been Wisconsin’s premier player this entire season, but in the last two games he has blown up in to one of the hottest commodities on the market. Wisconsin is also 4-0 SU and ATS in the NCAA Tournament, but went 4-2 SU and 2-4 ATS in their 6 games leading up to the big dance. Where was Kaminsky then and will he maintain his torrid rate against the most talented team left in the Final Four?
I expect the number on this game to land at either KU -1.5 or KU -2.0. Either way, there’s no way this spread gets high enough to deter me from taking Kentucky. The line moves respect Bo Ryan and Frank Kaminsky to a certain degree, but Kentucky is simply a fiercer team. As long as they bring the hustle and relentless nature they’ve attacked their last three games with, the updated Las Vegas Final Four betting odds can’t go high enough to make me back away from Calipari’s crew.