Week 1 College Football Must Make BetsJosh Bailey
Are you ready for the first week of college football action and you’re excited about the brand new playoff format?
Do you want to get your 2014 college football betting campaign off to a positive, bankroll-boosting start?
Well, if you answered ‘yes’ to either of the aforementioned questions, then you’re in luck!
With the 2014 NCAA college football season quickly approaching, this expert analysis and accompanying ‘trifecta’ of expert free picks on 3 Week 1 college football matchups is just what the doctor ordered.
— Eye on College FBall (@EyeOnCFB) July 14, 2014
Let’s get started with a pair of Friday night matchups that will kick off the 2014 regular season one day before Saturday’s nearly full slate of NCAA college football contests.
College Football Best Bets Week One
Friday, Aug. 29
BYU -14 at Connecticut
BYU (8-5 SU, 5-7-1 ATS) looks like they’re going to be about a two-touchdown road favorite over a Connecticut team that went 3-9 SU and 5-7 ATS a year ago and think they’ll cover this spread with just a bit of room to spare seeing as how the Cougars averaged 10.8 points per game more than the Huskies offensively while allowing 9.0 fewer points per game defensively.
If the spread goes over 14 points, I’d be a bit wary seeing as how UConn played fantastic football in winning their final three games of the season a year ago and BYU went 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Still, I don’t have a lot of faith in a UConn program that has gone 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Last but not least, you should also know that the Under is 4-1 in Huskies last 5 home games.
My Pick: BYU 35 UConn 20
Texas-San Antonio +13.5 over Houston
While Houston put up a stellar 33.9 points per game and allowed just 20.2 per contest defensively, the Cougars could only manage a solid 8-5 record a year ago.
UTSA averaged 25.6 points per contest and allowed more than they put on the board defensively (26.3 ppg) to finish the season with a -0.8 scoring differential that would have left most teams with sub .500 records.
While the Roadrunners somehow managed to go 7-5 SU and 7-4-1 ATS a year ago and it’s one of the reasons I like them to cover a near two-touchdown spread in this regular season opener.
UTSA is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road and I think they’re going to want some revenge for the 59-28 shellacking that Houston put on them back in September of last year.
My Pick: UTSA +13.5 Points
Saturday, Aug. 30
Washington at Hawaii
The Washington Huskies (9-4 SU, 7-6 ATS) are my pick to easily win this contest and I think they’ll cover the spread too – if it stays right around 21-24 points at most.
Washington averaged a stellar 38.5 points per game last season while allowing 23.4 per game defensively. Hawaii (1-11 SU, 7-5 ATS) was a mess as they averaged a respectable 27.4 points per contest but allowed a whopping 38.8 per game defensively.
Now, remember, if the spread here goes over 24 points, I say take the Hawaii Warriors to cover. If it stays under 24 points, I say take Washington. The Warriors didn’t go 7-5 ATS a year ago because of their fine 1-11 SU record. No they did because they were often getting a ton of points their opponents fell just short of covering.
My Pick: Washington 38 Hawaii 27