Upset Picks College Football Week 9

Wisconsin at Nebraska Spread & ATS Pick

The fifth-ranked Wisconsin Badgers (21-2, 9-1 Big Ten) will attempt to complete their third season series-sweep when they travel to Lincoln, Nebraska to take on Cornhuskers (13-10, 5-6 Big Ten). Since beating the Cornhuskers by 15 on Jan 15, Wisconsin has won six straight while Nebraska has split their last 6.

A Closer Look At The Wisconsin at Nebraska Spread & My ATS Pick

Matchup: (5) Wisconsin Badgers at Nebraska Cornhuskers
Date: Feb. 10, 2015 
Start Time: 9:00 p.m. ET 
Location: Lincoln, Nebraska
Stadium: Pinnacle Bank Arena
Stream: WatchESPN
Radio:  Wisconsin Vs Nebraska

Wisconsin Will Cover the Spread If

The Badgers can get Big Frank going early.

Wisconsin has one of the more interesting players in center Frank Kaminsky who can play both inside, but who can also drop three-pointers from behind the arc. Big Frank is easily the focal point of the Badgers’ offense since he leads the team in scoring per matchup at 17.5, he leads the team in rebounds per game at 8.1 and he’s dishing 2.5 assists per contest, which makes him the Wisconsin leader in helpers.

The best possible scenario is for Kaminsky to get going on the blocks early. That will open things up for the rest of Wisconsin’s terrific shooting team. As a squad the Badgers dump 74 points per game off of 48.6% shooting onto their opponents. Getting Big Frank going will help them to hit the averages versus Nebraska.

Nebraska Will Cover the Spread If

The Cornhuskers defense can keep the Badgers from running and gunning.

Wisconsin is not a slow it down and look for the best shot team anymore. The Badgers like to run and gun if they can. Wouldn’t you if you had a center that could run the floor like Kaminsky?

But, Nebraska’s defense is tremendous overall, 60 points allowed per game off of less than 40% shooting allowed per game. It’s even better at home where the ‘Huskers have gone 5 and 0 against the spread in their last 5 games and held 3 of those 5 opponents to 49 points or less.

The issue that Wisconsin could have in this matchup is that Terran Pettaway and Shavon Shields can both put up points in bunches. Pettaway averages 18.7 per game while Shields averages 15.9. Both are athletic and, as to be expected, both excel when they play in front of their home crowd.

Wisconsin could be in a battle against the Cornhuskers in this matchup.

My College Basketball ATS Pick – Wisconsin Badgers 68, Nebraska Cornhuskers 64