College Football Week 5 is going to be great, a football betting betting junkie’s dream. We are going to review 2 matchups of top ranked Alabama and 4th ranked Ohio.
Alabama hosts 21st ranked Ole Miss this Saturday night at 6:30 pm EST on ESPN. Ole Miss is 2-1 against the spread this year, while Alabama has only covered once. In our other matchup the 23rd ranked Wisconsin travels to Ohio to take on the 4th ranked Buckeyes.
Now lets move on to the matchups and my college football betting picks for week 5.
(21) Ole Miss at (1) Alabama
What are the Odds for the Game? Alabama -16
When will it be play? Saturday 6:30 PM ET
Where? Bryant-Denny Stadium
What’s their record against the spread? The Rebels are 2-1 ATS, and the Crimson Tide is 1-2 ATS.
Which TV will broadcast it? ESPN
Recent Betting Trends:
- Mississippi is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Mississippi’s last 7 games
- Mississippi is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games on the road
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Mississippi’s last 9 games on the road
- Mississippi is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Alabama
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi’s last 5 games when playing Alabama
- Mississippi is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Alabama
- Alabama is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Mississippi
- Alabama is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Mississippi
Since 2003, Ole Miss and Alabama have faced each other 10 times with the Tide rolling over the Rebels nine of ten matchups. However, in terms of betting Ole Miss is strangely a good ATS bet historicaly as they have covered the spread in seven those ten games.
Alabama’s defense is as good as in the recent championship years, perhaps, not as good talent wise, but the numbers are there. Take the game, vs Texas A&M, 2 weeks ago out of the equation and the Rolling Tide have allowed ten and six points in week one and three, respectively.
What this defense has not been able to do this year is to force interceptions like they have in previous seasons, Alabama has three so far this season; two of them were returned for a score.
On the other side of the ball will be the Rebels of Ole Miss. They are are a run first and run often team. Last week they combined for a total of 272 rush yards.
Expect long possessions from the Rebels to keep Alabama’s defense on their heels. Their game plan is to keep the game close until the end and hope for a shot at a W.
College Football Picks: Ole Miss +16.
(23) Wisconsin at (4) Ohio State
What are the Odds for the Game? Ohio State -7
When will it be play? Saturday 8 PM ET
Where? Ohio Stadium
What’s their record against the spread? The Badgers are 4-0 ATS, and the Buckeyes are 3-1 ATS.
Which TV will broadcast it? ABC
Recent Betting Trends:
- Wisconsin is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
- Wisconsin is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
- Wisconsin is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wisconsin’s last 6 games on the road
- Wisconsin is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Ohio State
- Wisconsin is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ohio State
- Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
- Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
- Ohio State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Wisconsin
The first few moments after an Ohio State victory is usually a time for celebration and recognition especially after a 76 to 0 romp over Florida A&M. Not much more really could or should have been said about a glorified scrimmage against a Football Championship Subdivision opponent.
Coach Urban Meyer and his assistants mention the top players from the game. Everyone applauds and celebrates the players who are singled out.
Things got real this last week. “Coach said, ‘This game’s over. We’re on to Wisconsin,”’ tailback Jordan Hall said.
Wisconsin is 1-5 both against the spread and straight up in its last 6 games when playing against Ohio State. The Badgers could face two different quarterbacks for the first time this season as coach Meyer named both Braxton Miller and Kenny Guiton co-starters for Saturday.
Guiton has been outstanding over the last two games with 10 touchdowns and just one interception. His biggest challenge so far this season will be without a doubt this Badgers defense, which has allowed 10.5 points per game and ranks number one in the Big Ten and 10th overall in points against.
Miller was the 2012 Big Ten Offensive Player of the Year but suffered a sprained left knee against San Diego State in week 2.
Wisconsin also has the third best running team in the nation averaging 349.8 yards on the ground. Ohio State allows 79.8 rushing yards per game, fourth best in the Big Ten conference, but it might not be enough to stop the Badgers.
I see this matchup as close as it gets, but Urban Meyer is one of the best coaches in the game and he usually never loses close games.
College Football Picks: Ohio State by 10.