7 Wagering Predictions for the 2015 National Championship

7 Wagering Predictions for the 2015 National Championship Game

Below, are 7 wagering predictions for the 2015 National Championship between the one touchdown favorite Oregon Ducks and the Ohio State Buckeyes. This is the first time where a college football champion will be crowned after a playoff.

Oregon pummeled Florida State 59 to 20 as a -9 point favorite in the Rose Bowl. A few hours later, Ohio State completed the upset over first ranked Alabama with a 42 to 35 victory. Now, the two best teams in the nation will battle it out in Arlington, Texas for the right to be called champions. 

College Football National Championship
Matchup: Ohio State Buckeyes Vs Oregon Ducks
Date: Jan. 12, 2015 
Start Time: 8:30 p.m. ET 
Location: Arlington, Texas
Stadium: AT&T Stadium
Stream: WatchESPN
Radio:  Oregon Vs  Ohio State
Point Spread: Oregon -7
Game Total: 75

7 Wagering Predictions for the 2015 National Championship

  1. Oregon’s Marcus Mariota will pass for over 300 yards – Ohio State’s defense allows only 191.6 yards per game through the air, but that doesn’t really tell the story. Connor Cook at Michigan State threw for 358 yards against the Buckeyes. Blake Sims for Alabama threw for 237, but Alabama is a run first team. Mariota should easily get 300 in this matchup because he’s thrown for 300 or more in 8 out of Oregon’s 14 games this season including throwing for over 300 in four straight matchups.

  2. Mariota will also rush for over 50 yards in this matchup – Mariota has rushed for 731 yards and 15 touchdowns this season. Oregon’s rushing attack is very difficult to defend against and Ohio State doesn’t have the linebackers to stop Mariota. He’ll get at least 50 on the ground if not more.
  3. Urban Meyer will call at least 3 trick plays in this game – Oregon is known for its creativity, but really, because Mariota is so effective, the Ducks don’t call many trick plays. That’s not true for Ohio State. Because Oregon is so good defensively in their zone defense, the Ducks have given up more than 20 points only once in 6 straight games, Buckeyes’ coach Urban Meyer is going to call at least 3 trick plays in this one.

  4. Two of those trick plays will have to do with Cardale Jones –  In space, Jones is a handful to take down. Meyer should use those 3 trick plays to get Jones in space. As good as Oregon is at tackling, Jones is a shifty runner as he proved in the semifinal versus Alabama. Meyer will want to take advantage of that shiftiness.

  5. The game will go over the total of 74.5 points – It’s difficult to see the 2015 National Championship not going over the total of 74.5. The best way for Ohio State to win this matchup is not to slow the game down. It’s got to play with Oregon. Every time Mariota and the Ducks score, the Buckeyes have to answer as quickly as possible. And, the Buckeyes have the weapons  to do so. Ezekiel Elliot and Devin Smith are both capable of beating the Oregon defense. A lot of the success of Ohio State on offense is going to have to do with center Jacoby Boren. Boren is undersized, but he plays with a tenacity that few players have. He also got banged up in the Alabama game. He’ll need to control things for Jones and the Buckeyes’ offense.
  6. The Ducks defense will force at least 2 turnovers – Ohio State will protect the ball better than Jameis Winston and Florida State did in the Rose Bowl. So, Oregon won’t force 5 turnovers, but Oregon will force at least 2 turnovers. Cardale Jones is still a third string quarterback. He’s going to either get stripped a couple of times or force a pass or two that the Ducks will intercept.

  7. Oregon will blow out Ohio State – The Buckeyes’ defense allowed Indiana to rush for 287 yards. The Hoosiers are one-dimensional. The Buckeyes allowed Minnesota to rush for 218 yards. Minnesota is one-dimensional. The problem that Alabama had is that it failed to rush the ball and instead tried to pass with Blake Sims. Oregon is as balanced as an offense can get, the Ducks rush for 241.9 yards per game and Mariota throws for 310.3 per matchup. It will be very difficult for Ohio State’s defense to contend with that type of offensive balance. Ohio State has to play a perfect game in order to keep this one close, much less win it, and it’s unlikely that the Buckeyes will be able to do that.