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ACC Championship Game Betting Line – FSU Heavily Favored Against Duke

At first glance, making an college football ACC Championship Game betting line pick seems like a cakewalk. This game features the number one team in the country going up against a school that is pretty much known for everything but their football program. With a victory, the top ranked FSU Seminoles guarantee their spot in the BCS Championship game. I don’t want to rub salt in the wounds of FSU, but the last time they were listed as a number-one team in the BCS was in the year 2000, which was also the year they lost 13-2 against Oklahoma in the national title game.

Still, this should be a banner year for FSU. The program has finally returned to the throne after more than a decade-long absence and have the leading Heisman candidate wearing their uniform. If not for the off-field transgressions of quarterback Jameis Winston (whose sexual assault case is still on going so I won’t comment) we would be whistling Dixie about this school. As it stands, we’re genuinely worried about FSU going up against Duke in ACC Championship game betting. Yes – actually worried.

#20 Duke Blue Devils (10-2) vs. #1 Florida State Seminoles (12-0)
The Florida State Seminoles are 29 point favorites over the Duke Blue Devils in the ACC Championship game.
Starts: 12/07/2013 8:00PM
Bank of America Stadium, 800 South Mint St.
Charlotte, North Carolina

 

This specific matchup has been hell for Duke over the past five seasons. They are 0-5 SU and ATS when playing the Seminoles. On average the Blue Devils have been +21.5 point dogs in all those games. That betting history should give FSU the majority of the action. But that isn’t the case. Most people are actually betting on Duke in ACC Championship Game betting so far.

Why? The Blue Devils are an inspired 10-2 SU and ATS this season with an eight-game winning streak in hand. They have marquee wins over Miami and North Carolina State this season and were an early catch by sharps, who fell in love with them as a fringe ACC team. A win here puts Duke in the Orange Bowl as ACC Championships. Neither of those things have happened in over a half-century. Duke’s last ACC Championship was 1954 and their last Orange Bowl appearance was 1958. As massive underdogs in ACC Championship game betting, it’s hard to imagine either of those dreams coming true in 2013.

Bonus NCAAF Championship Week Picks

Date
Away
Home
Pick
Fri, Dec 6, 2013
Bowling Green
Northern Illinois
NIU -3
Sat, Dec 7, 2013
Auburn
Missouri
MIZZ +2
Sat, Dec 7, 2013
Michigan State
Ohio State
MSU +5
Sat, Dec 7, 2013
Stanford
Arizona State
ASU -3.5
Sat, Dec 7, 2013
Duke
Florida State
FSU -29
Sat, Dec 7, 2013
Texas
Baylor
BAY -13.5
Sat, Dec 7, 2013
Oklahoma
Oklahoma State
OKLA +10.5

So what makes Duke special here? Nothing. Absolutely nothing. They’re an adequate passing team, a good rushing team and have a pretty good defensive front. I’m not saying that they’re push overs, but it’s increasingly difficult to bet on a team that beat UNC this past weekend 27-25 as +5.0 point underdogs, especially given the fact that FSU has demolished opponents across the board.

Winston is the big ticket for FSU, but their team defense is astounding. They’ve allowed just 11.0 points against and only 271 total yards against per game. And FSU has never taken it easy on their opponents. They’ve obliterated schools by +42.7 points per game on average, and are just two weeks removed from dropping 80 points on Idaho. I really love what Duke has done this season, but I genuinely think that FSU is hell bent on re-establishing themselves as a force of nature in the college ranks.

Bettors are overthinking this one already so don’t fall in to that trap. There’s no reason to believe that FSU won’t embarrass Duke because they’ve trampled everyone who has opposed them. The Seminoles won’t leave anything to chance in ACC Championship game betting and neither should you.

ACC Championship Game Betting Pick – FSU -29.0