In this expert Week 8 college football betting analysis, we’re going to look at and offer up three potentially payday-producing picks on a trio of Week 8 games that is highlighted by Saturday’s huge, nationally-televised battle between ACC powerhouses, Florida State and Clemson.
With kickoff time drawing nearer by the second, let’s get started.
No. 8 LSU at Mississippi
The LSU Tigers (6-1 SU, 4-2-1 ATS) will be looking to extend their modest winning streak against the reeling Mississippi Rebels (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS) when they square off in their SEC showdown on Saturday.
LSU has won two straight including a 17-6 win against Florida as a 9-point home favorite in Week 7. Mississippi has lost three straight, including a 41-38 Week 7 home loss against Johnny Manziel and the Texas A&M Aggies though the Rebels did manage to cover the spread as a 7-point underdog to snap a two-game ATS skid.
Analysis: The Tigers were part of my blistering 8-1 NCAAF Week 7 record and I’m going to advise college football bettors everywhere to back them once again, although I’ll admit it’s going to be equally as tough as their 17-6 Week 7 over Florida.
The Mississippi Rebels are just 2-6 SU and 3-5 ATS in their last eight home games against LSU, though the Tigers are just 3-9 ATS in the L/12 meetings overall. Mississippi can score the ball at a respectable clip (29.0) but they allow almost as many defensively (27.8).
I know the Rebels are riding a three-game losing streak and are going to be flat-out desperate for a win in this huge home SEC matchup, but the fact of the matter is that the LSU Tigers are just better on both sides of the ball as they average a whopping 41.4 points per game (41st) while also boasting one of the nation’s best defenses (22.0 ppg, 34th).
Did You Know that Mississippi is just 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a double-digit home underdog against LSU?
The Pick: Back the LSU Tigers to get the very hard-fought SEC road win and accompanying narrow ATS cover.
Washington State at No. 2 Oregon
The Washington State Cougars (4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS) have lost two of its last three games including a humbling 52-24 home loss against Oregon State as a 2.5-point underdog in Week 7.
The undefeated second-ranked Oregon Ducks (6-0 SU, 6-0 ATS) are coming off an emphatic 45-24 Week 7 win over Washington that helped them remain perfect against the spread as they covered the spread as 12-point road favorites.
However, the Ducks are now favored by nearly 40 points against a Washington State team that is absolutely desperate right now. Let’s see if the Ducks can cover the spread.
Analysis: The Oregon Ducks are extremely potent on offense, ranking second in the nation in scoring (56.8 ppg) and a lot better than anyone realizes defensively, rankings stunning sixth in points allowed (13.8 ppg).
While Washington State’s home loss to Oregon State is very disconcerting, combined with the fact that Oregon is looking like arguably the best team in the nation in all three phases of the game, I like the Cougars to get the narrow ATS cover against the huge point spread.
The Underdog in this Pac-12 rivalry has gone 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings while Washington State has compiled a pair of impressive ATS streaks by going 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss and a perfect 4-0 ATS in their L/4 games following a double-digit home loss.
Last but not least, with Oregon going just 1-4 ATS in their last five home games against a team with a winning road record and Washington State going 5-0 ATS in their L/ 5 games following an SU loss of more than 20 points, I say the Cougars get the narrow SU cover.
The Pick: Washington State +37.5
Did You Know that Oregon had recorded a pair of identical 46-point wins in two straight home games against Washington State until beating the Cougars by ‘just’ 15 points last year?
No. 5 Florida State at No. 4 Clemson
Florida State -2.5
The Clemson Tigers (6-0 SU, 3-3 ATS) have won more games, are the proud owners of a higher national ranking and will playing at home in their colossal ACC clash against the Florida State Seminoles (5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS), but that hasn’t stopped Vegas oddsmakers from installing their hated rivals as surprising road favorites in this Week 8 contest.
Both teams will look to remain unbeaten when they square off in the highlight game on the entire Week 8 document, live from Memorial Stadium in Clemson, South Carolina on Saturday at 8:00 PM ET.
Florida State is coming off a resounding 63-0 thumping over Maryland as a 17-point home favorite on October 5. The Seminoles covered the spread with plenty of room to spare as a 17.5-point favorite and will be well-rested after a bye last weekend.
Clemson recorded a closer than expected 24-14 win over Boston College on Saturday, but failed to cover the spread as a whopping 24-point home favorite to snap a modest two-game ATS winning streak.
Analysis: The Clemson Tigers have gone 5-3 SU and a near-perfect 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games against the Florida State Seminoles and I like them to cover the spread at home against the ‘Noles again, this time by getting the outright win.
The only time Clemson failed to cover the spread at home against Florida State was as an 8-point home dog back on Nov. 3, 2001. Now, the Tigers come into this contest having gone 10-3 ATS in their last 13 conference games and a bankroll-boosting 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
I know Florida State is slightly better statistically on both sides of the ball, but college football bettors should know the Seminoles are just 8-12 ATS in its L/20 road games and a dismal 1-7 ATS over its L/8 road games overall.
I realize that Clemson is just 9-11 SU and 10-10 ATS in its L/20 games as an underdog of four points or less, but I believe the outcome of thi contest will come down to quarterback play and I believe that, in the end, Clemson star Tahj Boyd is going to outperform gifted Florida State freshman Jameis Winston.
The Pick: Clemson +2.5 Points