Spread & ATS Pick Ohio State vs Michigan State

Air Force Vs Michigan State CFB Week 3 Picking The Winner

In what appears to be a one-sided affair, the 26.5-point underdog Air Force Falcons will face the fourth-ranked Michigan State Spartans. The game kicks off on ABC this Saturday, Sept 19th at 12:00 PM ET from Lansing, MI. Cord-cutters can stream the game via Watch ESPN.

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While picking the winner in this matchup is straight forward — Michigan State. But should you bet on the Spartans against the spread in college football week 3?

Analyzing My Air Force Falcons vs Michigan State Spartans College Football Week 3 Expert Pick

What: Air Force Falcons (2-0) at No. 4 Michigan State Spartans (2-0)
When: Saturday, Sept 19th, 2015
Kickoff: 12:00 p.m. ET 
Where: East Lansing, MI
Stadium: Spartan Stadium (MI)
Weather: 71 °F/Sprinkles Early
Wind: NorthEast 6mph
Spread: Michigan State -26.5
Moneyline: N/A
Game Total: N/A
Stream: Watch ESPN
Listen: Air Force Vs Michigan State

No. 4 Michigan State (2-0 SU, 0-2 ATS) remained unbeaten by squeaking past Oregon 31-28 in one of the most exciting games on the Week 2 docket. The Spartans failed to cover the college football betting line as 5-point home favorites to fall to a winless 0-2 ATS on the season while playing Under the game’s set Over/Under Total.

Michigan State sealed the win with a late fourth down stop high-powered offense.

"We’ve got all the confidence in the world in our defense and know that when it’s crunch time they’re going to come through,” quarterback Connor Cook said.

Cook threw for 192 yards and two touchdowns for the Spartans on Saturday and LJ Scott added two rushing scores in the win while wide receiver Aaron Burbridge added eight catches for 101 yards and a touchdown.

The Spartans’ Week 2 showdown against the Ducks marked first time two teams in the AP top 10 met at Spartan Stadium since 1966, when No. 2 Michigan State and No. 1 Notre Dame played to a 10-all tie. Here are the highlights:

D.J. Johnson rushed for 103 yards in the fourth quarter alone to lead the Air Force Falcons (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS) to an emphatic 37-16 beat-down over San Jose State on Saturday night while quarterback Nate Romine added an additional 116 rushing yards and one score. The Falcons covered the college football betting line as a -4.5-point favorite while the game’s 53 total points played Under the set O/U Total.

Betting Analysis: 55 percent of the betting public likes Michigan State to cover the insane points spread in this contest, but I’m going with Air Force to get it done, seeing as how the Falcons have posted a perfect 4-0 ATS mark in their last four games against non-conference opponents and a bankroll-boosting 7-1 ATS in its last eight games overall.

Conversely, while Michigan State has gone 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games, the Spartans are also just 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games in the month of September.

The Falcons have a very potent offense that has averaged 50.0 points per game through two games so far and it is the Falcons’ quick-strike ability that I like to keep them well within the nearly four-touchdown point spread.

My college football week 3 betting pick are the Air Force Falcons to cover the 26.5-point spread as underdogs over Michigan State. My final score prediction is Air Force 16, Michigan State 35.