Alabama at LSU Expert Betting Pick

Alabama at LSU Expert Betting Pick

Alabama at LSU Expert Betting Pick

Alabama travels to Louisiana to battle one of their top rivals in the SEC, LSU, in a game that could possibly propel Alabama further up the College Football Playoff ladder.

Thanks to Ole Miss’s loss to Auburn this past Saturday, Alabama is in position to grab a Top 4 spot. It will need to continue to beat ranked teams, like Louisiana State this Saturday and Mississippi State in a couple of weeks, in order to garner a safe spot in the College Football Playoff. Can Alabama come through with a big SEC victory on the road?

No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide at No. 15 Louisiana State Tigers
When:  Saturday, Nov. 8 at 8:00 pm ET
Where:  Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA
Betting Line: Alabama -6

Alabama at Louisiana State Expert Betting Pick Analysis

Alabama’s offense has really kicked it up a notch in recent weeks. The offense is averaging 505.5 yards and 36.5 points per game. It’s one of the more balanced offenses in the SEC as well since the Crimson Tide rushes for 217 yards and passes for 288.5 points per game.

Alabama’s defense is turning into a shutdown unit as well. The Crimson Tide is allowing only 276.8 total yards per game. The Tide gives up 199.1 passing yards and 77.6 rushing yards per contest while allowing only 14 points per game. Alabama is ranked second in college football in terms of points allowed and second in rushing yards allowed. Surprisingly, even though Alabama has one of the best teams in college football on both the offensive and defensive sides of the ball, the Crimson Tide is only 2 and 6 against the spread this season. The Tide really hasn’t helped footbal

Will LSU be yet another team that covers the spread against Alabama? LSU’s defense has been nothing short of phenomenal in the Tigers’ last two contests. The LSU D has yielded only 318.1 yards per game. This includes yielding 158.4 yards per game in the passing attack and 159.7 yards per game in the rushing attack. Teams are scoring only 15.9 points per game against LSU’s defense.

On offense, the Tigers are scoring 32.8 points and averaging 414.2 yards per game. This includes garnering 188.6 yards per game in the passing attack and 225.7 rushing yards per contest. This could be the problem with LSU’s offense versus Alabama’s defense in this matchup. The Tigers have to get their rushing attack going or else they might be in some trouble in this one. LSU’s quarterback, Anthony Jennings, is completing only 50% of his passes. He’s thrown 8 touchdowns to 5 interceptions and Alabama is likely to shut Jennings down in the passing game. If Alabama continues to be excellent against the rush, where will LSU get its points?

It won’t be easy but this might be one matchup where Alabama has the advantage. LSU is one-dimensional on offense and the defense, even though it’s great, is facing one of the most balanced offenses in all of college football.

The Crimson Tide has been terrible against the spread this season, but the Tide should be motivated to put an impressive beat down on the rival Tigers this Saturday. Alabama is the play to cover the spread in this matchup in Death Valley.     

Week 11 College Football Expert Betting Pick: Alabama -6