Alabama vs. Ohio State Sugar Bowl betting odds makers have decided that Ohio State won’t repeat their stunning 0 to 59 victory over Wisconsin in the Sugar Bowl on January 1.
The odds makers have installed Alabama as a big 10.5 point favorite over Ohio State. It makes sense since Alabama has been brilliant in its last two games including dominating Missouri 42 to 13 in the SEC Championship. Does Ohio State have any shot against the number one College Football Playoff seeded SEC Champs from the Yellowhammer State?
No. 4 Ohio State Buckeyes vs No.1 Alabama Crimson
Date: Jan. 01, 2015
Start Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
Stadium: Mercedes-Benz Superdome
TV Info: ESPN
Stream Info: WatchESPN.com
Radio: Ohio State vs Alabama
Point Spread: Crimson Tide -10.5
Game Total: 28
Analyzing My Alabama Vs Ohio State Sugar Bowl Expert Betting Pick
Alabama’s offense and defense has come together very well in the last two games. In the Iron Bowl, against the rival Auburn Tigers, Alabama was fantastic offensively. Even though quarterback Blake Sims threw 3 interceptions in the first half, Alabama managed to score 55 points. They were able to do it because Sims went nuts in the second half. He ended up throwing for 312 yards and 4 touchdowns.
Against Missouri, Sims threw for 262 yards and 2 touchdowns. He completed 23 of 27 passes and Alabama racked up 504 yards. What’s equally impressive is that Alabama averaged over 6 yards per rush against Auburn and close to 5 yards per rush against Missouri. Those are important stats because when Alabama gets its rushing attack going, they are virtually unstoppable on offense.
The best wide receiver in the nation, Amari Cooper, plays for the Crimson Tide. Cooper has been unreal the past two games. He’s caught 25 passes for 307 yards and 3 touchdowns. Granted, he didn’t have a touchdown catch against Missouri, but by concentrating on stopping Cooper, Mizzou allowed the Tide to rush for 224 yards.
Ohio State’s defense could be in some trouble in this game. The truth is that holding Wisconsin to 0 points isn’t the norm for the Buckeyes’ defense. Michigan State scored 37 against Ohio State, Minnesota rocked the Buckeyes for 24. Even terrible Big Ten teams like Indiana and Michigan have had success against the Buckeyes’ D. Indiana scored 27 points and Michigan scored 28.
Ohio State’s defense looked great because it jumped out in front of Wisconsin and forced the one-dimensional Badger offense into having to throw the football. That won’t happen against Alabama.
Alabama’s defense is not going to allow Cardale Jones, Ohio State’s third string quarterback, to throw for 257 yards and 3 touchdowns. And, Ohio State is definitely not going to rush for 301 yards and a 7.9 average against Alabama’s D.
As good as Ohio State was against Wisconsin, they could be almost as bad versus Alabama. Nobody really knows how good Jones is filling in for the injured J.T. Barrett and Alabama’s offense is not one-dimensional like Wisconsin’s. The trends point to this game being close, but the truth is that it shouldn’t be.
Alabama’s defense is one of the best in the nation. Ohio State’s offense won’t get the jump on the Crimson Tide the way that it did versus Wisconsin in the Big Ten Championship. The Tide should roll on January 1.
Sugar Bowl Betting Pick: Alabama -10