Appalachian State Vs Toledo Raycom Media Camellia Bowl Spread & ATS Pick

Appalachian State Vs Toledo Camellia Bowl Spread & ATS Pick

The 2016 Raycom Media Camellia Bowl features two 9-3 programs. It will be the Appalachian State Mountaineers facing the 9-3 Toledo Rockest. The college football Camellia Bowl spread favors Toledo by 1-point. Kick-off is this Saturday, December 17th at 5:30 PM ET on ESPN from the Cramton Bowl in Montgomery, Alabama.

Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Toledo Rockets Raycom Media Camellia Bowl Spread & ATS Pick

Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Who: Appalachian State Mountaineers (9-3) vs Toledo Rockets (9-3)
When: Saturday, December 17, 2016
Start Time: 5:30 PM ET  
Where: Montgomery, AL
Stadium: Cramton Bowl
Spread: Toledo -1
Moneyline: Toledo -125 vs Appalachian State +105
Game Total: 57.5
Watch: ESPN
Stream: Watch ESPN
Listen: Appalachian State vs Toledo

Why Bet The Appalachian State Mountaineers To Beat Toledo

Appalachian State enters this game with two wins in a row. They are 9-3 SU and 7-5 ATS this season. They average 29.1 points per game (67 th ) and allow 17.0 points per game (7 th ).

The Mountaineers average 184.0 passing yards per game (104 th ). QB Taylor Lamb (2162 yards, 14 TDs & 8 INTs) has completed 62.5% of his passes this season. He has added 380 rushing yards and eight touchdowns in 80 carries this season. The top receiver on the team is Shaedon Meadors (43 rec, 698 yards, 2 TDs) who averages 16.2 yards per reception. Appalachian State averages 247.1 rushing yards per game (13th). RB Jalin Moore (221 car, 1367 yards, 10 TDs) has been outstanding this season, averaging 6.4 yards per carry. RB Marcus Cox (136 car, 872 yards, 8 TDs) has been a red-zone TD vulture.

Appalachian State has the 11th-ranked total defense in the nation. They allow 200.2 passing yards per game (29th) and 125.8 rushing yards per game (23rd).

Why Bet The Toledo Rockets To Beat Appalachian State

Toledo lost their last outing against Western Michigan. They are 9-3 SU and 6-6 ATS this season. They average 38.8 points per game (18th) and allow 25.3 points per game (49th).

“We have a chance to play a tremendous team in Appalachian State,” Toledo coach Jason Candle said. “I certainly have a lot of respect for Scott (Satterfield) and what he has been able to do with that football program.”

The Rockets average 329.1 passing yards per game (8th). QB Logan Woodside (3882 yards, 43 TDs & 9 INTs) leads all quarterbacks with 43 passing touchdowns this season. He has completed 69.1% of his passes. WR Cody Thompson (59 rec, 1170 yards, 10 TDs) is the leading receiver on this team and WR Michael Roberts (43 rec, 514 yards, 15 TDs) has been the team’s touchdown machine. He’s the team leader with 15 scores. Toledo averages 200.7 rushing yards per game (44th). RB Kareem Hunt (240 car, 1355 yards, 8 TDs) averages 5.6 yards per carry this season.

Toledo owns the 54th-ranked total defense in College Football. They give up 229.3 passing yards per game (70th) and 165.7 rushing yards (60th).

Betting Trends for this matchup:

  • Toledo is 18-7 ATS in its last 25 games
  • Toledo is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games
  • Appalachian State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Appalachian State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

Camellia Bowl ATS Pick & Final Score Prediction

These teams are evenly matched on paper and both have electrifying rushing threats in the Rockets’ Kareem Hunt and the Mountaineers’ Jalin Moore. Appalachian State’s defense will be the big difference, as the Mountaineers are stingy, especially on third down conversions.

My final score prediction is Appalachian State 27, Toledo 21.