Missouri battles Arkansas in a game that could propel Mizzou into the SEC Championship game. Missouri only has one loss in the conference while Top 10 ranked Georgia has two conference losses. The online betting line for this matchup has the visiting Razorbacks as 1.5 point favorites.
If Missouri beats Arkansas as a slight home underdog, they’ll stamp their ticket to the SEC Championship to face off against either Alabama or Mississippi State. Arkansas goes into the game after two stunning victories over LSU and Ole Miss. Does Arkansas have enough in the tank to beat yet another ranked opponent?
Arkansas Razorbacks at No. 20 Missouri Tigers
When: Friday, Nov. 28 at 2:30 pm ET
Betting Line: Missouri +1.5
Analyzing The Arkansas Vs Missouri Rivalry Week Online Betting Line
The online betting line has gone from Missouri opening as a +1.5 home dog to a pick’em game and now, in many sports books at least, to Missouri being a 1.5 point home dog again. Missouri should be the underdog in this contest. Even though the Tigers are ranked and have a shot to get to the SEC Championship with a victory, in the past two weeks Arkansas has turned into an entirely different team from the one that played during the middle of the season.
Arkansas started out hot going 3 and 1 straight up and 3 and 1 against the spread. Then, Arkansas hit a rough patch. They lost three games in a row to Texas A&M, Alabama and Georgia. Within the past month or so, though, the Razorbacks have come back better than ever. Arkansas is 3 and 1 straight up, the only loss was a 10 to 17 affair to Mississippi State, and 4 and 0 against the spread in their last 4 games.
The last two games have been Arkansas’ most impressive. The Razorbacks shut down LSU 17 to 0. Then, last week, Arkansas dominated Ole Miss by beating the Rebels 30 to 0. Arkansas held LSU to 123 total yards. Ole Miss could only manage 316 yards and, almost as impressive, Arkansas forced six Rebel turnovers. The Razorbacks defense is now one of the best in the nation, but Arkansas isn’t just a defensive team. The Razorbacks average 421.7 yards and 33.6 points per game.
Missouri has been on a roll as well although they haven’t been as impressive defensively as Arkansas. The Tigers have won 5 straight games including getting quality road wins versus Texas A&M and Tennessee. Missouri’s defense gave up 21 points to Tennessee, though, and 27 to A&M. If Missouri’s D gives up that many points to Arkansas, the Razorbacks should win by a comfortable margin. Missouri’s offense, although decent, has no shot at putting up a ton of points against the stingy Arkansas defense.
The online betting trends favor neither team although Arkansas is 10 and 1 ATS versus a team with a winning record and 5 and 0 ATS in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning home record.
This game comes down to the defenses. Missouri has a decent defense while Arkansas has a great defense. The Razorbacks figure to make it three in a row in the SEC Conference with a road victory over Missouri. That’s going to send Georgia into the SEC Championship game because Georgia beat Missouri 34 to 0 earlier in the season.