ASU vs USC Line & Final Score PredictionNoah Williams
The Arizona State Sun Devils will look to stay unbeaten when they visit the USC Trojans for a Week 5 Pac-12 matchup that could push the Trojans one step closer toward a postseason without a bowl game.
The college football week 5 line favors USC by 8-points to beat Arizona State. Now, let’s find out if the Sun Devils can hold it down at home to get the SU win and ATS cover.
Arizona State Sun Devils vs USC Trojans Line & Final Score Prediction
What: Arizona State Sun Devils (4-0) at USC Trojans (1-3)
When: Friday, September 30, 2016
Start Time: 8:30 PM ET
Where: Los Angeles, CA
Stadium: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Spread: USC -8
Moneyline: Arizona State +320 vs USC -380
Game Total: 64
Watch: FOX Sports
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Listen: Arizona State vs USC
Arizona State won its last outing, a 51-41 result against Golden Bears on September 24. Arizona State covered in that game as a -3.5-point favorite, while the 92 combined points took the game OVER the total.
The Arizona State got by Pac-12 rival California 51-41 in a high-scoring affair that saw quarterback Manny Wilkins complete 21 of 30 passes for 290 yards with one touchdown and one interception while adding another 72 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 23 carries.
The Sun Devils scored 31 points in the fourth quarter and picked off Cal quarterback Davis Webb twice in the final three minutes to seal the deal.
For the season, Wilkins is completing 67.2% of his passes for 1085 yards with five touchdowns and three interceptions. Arizona State is averaging a stellar 48.8 points per game (seventh), but are giving up a whopping 34.2 points per game defensively.
Arizona State has gone 7-1 ATS in its last eight games while the total has gone Over in 6 of Arizona State’s last seven games.
The Trojans lost their third game of the season by falling to Utah 31-27 in Week 4. Quarterback Sam Darnold completed 18 of 26 passes for 253 yards but failed to throw a touchdown pass. USC did get a solid outing from running back Justin Davis as he rushed for 126 yards and one score on 10 carries.
USC led by 10 points in the fourth quarter, couldn’t stop Utah quarterback Troy Williams or the Aggies as a whole, when it mattered most.
For the season, Darnold is completing 66.7% of his passes for 389 yards with two touchdowns and one interception while Davis has rushed for 261 yards and one score.
USC is averaging a discouraging 22.0 points per game (106th) while giving up a whopping 29.2 points per game defensively (81st). The Trojans have lost all three games that they have played against ranked opponents this season.
My Final Score Prediction
While USC has gone 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games following an SU loss, the Trojans are also just 1-5 ATS in their last six games. Conversely, the Arizona State Sun Devils have gone 4-0 ATS in their last four conference games and 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall.
There won’t be a lot of defense being played in this affair, but that’s okay, the favorite in this rivalry has gone 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings between these rivals.