Welcome to Championship Week in college football. If you need an edge with your picks, use my ATS analysis for Week 14 college football spreads and cash in.
ATS Analysis College Football Championship Week
#9 Texas Longhorns at #5 Oklahoma Sooners
When: Saturday, Dec. 1 at 12:00 pm ET
Where: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
Odds: Oklahoma -7.5
Analysis: Texas and Oklahoma battle each other in a Red River Rivalry rematch. This time, a lot more’s at stake than just bragging rights. With a win, Oklahoma could stamp a ticket to the College Football Playoff.
The Longhorns would like nothing more than to stop their rivals from making it to the CFP. Texas beat Oklahoma 48-45 earlier this season. Since that time, the Longhorns have gone 2-3-1 ATS. They’ve also lost a couple of games, to Oklahoma State and West Virginia.
Oklahoma’s been on fire straight up since the Red River Rivalry, winning 6 in a row. The Sooners haven’t been great against the spread, but they’re mowing through defenses. Texas should have a hard time keeping up. Oklahoma’s the play.
#1 Alabama Crimson Tide vs #4 Georgia Bulldogs
When: Saturday, Dec. 1 at 4:00 pm ET
Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Odds: Alabama -13.5
Analysis: Undefeated Alabama has also been as solid as it gets against the spread, going 5-1 ATS in their last 6. The Crimson Tide’s lone misstep ATS was when they beat Citadel 50-17 as a -53.5 favorite.
Coach Nick Saban doesn’t like to beat up on overmatched teams like the Citadel. He won’t have any issues beating up a team like the Georgia Bulldogs who’s coach, Kirby Smart, used to work for him.
Georgia’s been on fire lately with their 3-1 ATS record, but this year’s Alabama squad is one of the best college football teams ever assembled. The Tide averages 49 points per game. They scored 50 or more in 8 conference wins. Bama will cover.
#21 Northwestern Wildcats at #6 Ohio State Buckeyes
When: Saturday, Dec. 1 at 8:00 pm ET
Where: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
Odds: Ohio State -14
Analysis: Man, Ohio State looked great dominating Michigan 62-39. There are a few reasons why the big win happened, though. Michigan made nary a change during the game, which means Urban Meyer outcoached Jim Harbaugh. The other reason is the Wolverines gave up once they fell behind.
Northwestern won’t give up. The Wildcats aren’t better than Ohio State, but they hung with good football teams this season. Not only that, but Northwestern’s defense could frustrate the Buckeyes the way Michigan’s couldn’t.
Taking the points makes sense.