Baylor Vs Michigan State Cotton Bowl Odds, Predictions & TV ScheudleNoah Williams
If you were considering NOT betting on, let alone not watching, the Cotton Bowl matchup between the No. 8 Michigan State Spartans and the No. 5 Baylor Bears you will miss out on what might be the best game of the bowl season out of the two playoff matchups.
— Kevin Gehl (@KevinGehlWLNS) December 28, 2014
The college football odds makers set the game total at a whopping 70 points so expect this game to be high scoring, but with a tight 2.5 point college bowl betting spread, this game will come down to whichever team, on offense or defense, makes a play with time clicking off the scoreboard in the fourth quarter.
Analyzing The Baylor Vs Michigan State Cotton Bowl Odds & My Predictions
No. 5 Baylor Bears vs No. 8 Michigan State
Date: Jan. 01, 2015
Start Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
Location: Arlington, Texas
Stadium: AT&T Stadium
TV Info: ESPN
Stream Info: WatchESPN.com
Radio: Baylor Vs Michigan State
Point Spread: Bears -2.5
Game Total: 70
Baylor will win the Cotton Bowl if
They keep the Spartans triple threat under control…and convert on third down!
If the Baylor Bears want to win the 2014 Cotton Bowl, then they need to keep Michigan State’s trio of QB Conner Cook, RB Jerrmy Langford and WR Tony Lippett under control while keeping their turnovers to a minimum.
The Spartans’ seventh-ranked scoring attack (43.1 ppg) is headed up by junior quarterback Connor Cook (22 TDs, 6 INTs), senior running back Jeremy Langford (1,360 yards, 19 TDs) and senior wideout Tony Lippett (1,122 Yards, 18.7 yards per catch, 11 TDs).
The good news for the Bears is that they ranked ninth in the nation against the run(107.7 ypg), but the bad news is that teams had plenty of success passing the ball against Baylor’s 104th-ranked pass defense (260.0 ypg).
The Bears will also need to convert on third down consistently, seeing as how they went 3-for-16 (19%) on third down in their only loss of the season, a 41-27 loss to West Virginia on Oct. 18.
It goes without saying that second-team All-America senior safety Kurtis Drummond (65 tackles, 4 INTs) and senior defensive end (seven sacks), will need to make as many plays as possible for the Bears.
Michigan State will win the Cotton Bowl if
Rattle Bryce Petty and win the turnover battle!
If the Michigan State Spartans want to take down the high-scoring Baylor Bears, then they’re going to have to rattle talented quarterback Bryce Petty and win the turnover battle.
Unfortunately, getting to – and shaking up – the poised Petty may be easier said than done.
The senior Bears signal-caller completed 62.1 percent of his passes for 3,305 yards with 22 touchdowns and just six interceptions during the regular season. More bad news for the Spartans comes in the fact that Petty has not thrown an interception in consecutive games all season long – and he tossed one the last time out.
In addition to stopping Petty, Michigan State also has a plethora of skill position players to worry about including, sophomore running back Shock Linwood (1,226 yards, 16 touchdowns), sophomore wide receiver Corey Coleman (57 catches, 17 ypc, 10 TDs catches) and athletically-gifted freshman wideout KD Cannon (16.7 ypc, 50 catches, six TDs) among others.
Baylor finished fifth in passing (346.2 ypg) and first in the nation in scoring (48.8 ppg). The good news for Michigan State is the fact that the Spartans have a stellar defense that ranked sixth overall (293.5 ypg) and sixth against the run (97.5 ypg) while also ranking a respectable 26th against the pass (196.0 ypg).
Who will win the Cotton Bowl?
I have nothing against the Michigan State Spartans, but I just don’t see them winning this intriguing matchup no matter how hard I try to envision the Spartans winning.
First and foremost, I don’t think Michigan State played nearly the level of competition that the Bears did this season. Next, is the fact that no one has been able to slow down the Bears pretty much since Art Briles took over as head coach in 2008.
The Spartans are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against teams from the Big 12 while Baylor has posted a nearly unblemished 7-1 ATS mark in their last eight non-conference games while also going 12-4 ATS in their L/16 games against a team with a winning record.