Baylor Vs Texas Tech Line & Final Score PredictionNoah Williams
With nothing left to play for, the high-scoring Texas Tech Red Raiders will look to close out their 2016 campaign with a feel-good win over the Baylor Bears when they host their Big 12 conference rivals on Friday evening.
The Thanksgiving week NCAAF Baylor Vs Texas Tech betting line favors the visitors by 5.5-points to win. Kickoff is on Friday, November 25th at 6:00 PM ET, live from AT&T Stadium. Television viewers can catch this conference clash on ESPN.
Baylor Bears Vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Line & Final Score Prediction
What: Baylor Bears (6-4) at Texas Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-7)
When: Friday, November 25, 2016
Start Time: 6:00 PM ET
Where: Arlington, TX
Stadium: AT&T Stadium
Spread: Baylor -5.5
Moneyline: Baylor -205 vs Texas Tech +173
Game Total: 84.5
Stream: Watch ESPN
Listen: Baylor vs Texas Tech
Why Bet The Baylor Bears To Beat the Texas Tech Red Raiders
The Baylor Bears have lost four straight games and come into this Week 12 matchup off a humbling 42-21 home loss to Kansas State while never coming close to covering the college football betting line as a 2.5-point favorite this past Saturday.
The good news for Baylor fans and betting backers is that the Bears haven’t lost five consecutive games since 2012. The bad news is that they will be without starting quarterback Seth Russell for the remainder of the season after he went down with gruesome ankle injury against Oklahoma two weeks ago.
Even worse, backup quarterback Zach Smith didn’t inspire a whole lot of confidence after tossing three interceptions against the Wildcats this past weekend to cancel out his three TD passes.
In two appearances this season, Smith is completing a discouraging 53.8 percent of his passes for 530 yards with five touchdowns and three interceptions. With Smith struggling under center and leading rusher Terence Williams likely out for this affair, the Bears will likely turn to running back Shock Linwood to power their offense and that may not be a bad thing with Linwood rushing for 110 yards on 24 carries last weekend.
Unfortunately, Baylor’s defense, which has been torched for 42 points or more in each of their last three games, is allowing an overly generous 28.7 points per game to rank 69th nationally.
Why Bet The Texas Tech Red Raiders To Beat The Baylor Bears
Texas Tech has lost three straight and six of their last seven games and has no shot at a bowl game appearance with four wins and only one game remaining. The good news is that the Red Raiders have an explosive offense that could have a field day against Baylor’s mediocre defense.
Despite not getting the national recognition reserved for some more prominent programs, quarterback Patrick Mahomes II is very good and likely would be a leading Heisman contender were he playing for a winning program.
Texas Tech’s cerebral signal-caller has completed an impressive 65.7 percent of his passes this season for 4,466 yards with 35 touchdowns and a modest 10 interceptions. Unfortunately, you’d never know the Red Raiders can put points on the board with any team in the country following their stunning 66-10 blowout loss against Iowa State last weekend.
Mahomes was limited to just 219 passing yards while tossing two interceptions and one touchdown. The good news for the Red raiders is that Mahomes II has tossed at least three TD passes in eight of his last dozen games.
The Red Raiders are second in total offense (557.5 ypg), first in passing (451.8 ypg) and eighth in scoring (42.7 ppg). However, the Red Raiders’ high-scoring offense generally hasn’t been able to overcome a pitiful defense that allows an insane 44.3 points per game defensively to rank 127th nationally.
Baylor Vs Texas Tech & Final Score Prediction
While 53 percent of the betting public likes Baylor to cover the spread as a nearly touchdown favorite, I’m going with Texas Tech to get it done at home, mostly because they have an explosive offense that should be able to put its fair share of points on the board against Baylor’s underwhelming defense.
The Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last four games, 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss and 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss.
Texas Tech has problems, but the Red Raiders are also 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 conference games. I’m going with Texas Tech to get it done against Baylor and their inexperienced quarterback.