The Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl betting line is a bit misleading in that Navy should be favored by a much larger margin. The fact that this is a battle between two rushing teams has made the oddsmakers a bit nervous, and that’s understandable. But Navy’s incredible 9-3 ATS record has built them a strong following in the sportsbook and there’s no reason to back off of them in the post season.
Navy’s Keenan Reynolds is a dynamo at quarterback who scored a touchdown in every game. He completed just 65 passes this season for 1,038 yards, but also ran for an additional 1,260 rushing yards while piling up 37 total touchdowns. The incredible part? Twenty-nine of those came on the ground. If you’re willing to wager on the Bell Helicopter armed Forces Bowl betting line, you’ll have to trust Reynolds and there is plenty of reason to believe that he can take over this game.
Reynolds has scored 11 touchdowns in his last two games. He amassed 286 total yards against San Jose State in an overtime thriller, while piling up 8 touchdowns and then stormed Army in the season finale for 3 more rushing scores. He’ll be going up against a defense that gave up 185.8 rushing yards per game, so there will be plenty of room for him to work with.
Middle Tennessee was lost in Conference USA because they’re historically a terrible bet. They went just 5-7 ATS on the year and never covered in back-to-back games. The reason? They don’t really have a go-to scoring threat. Running back Jordan Parker led the team with 6 touchdowns as this team spread the ball around to score 30.6 points on average. Seven other players for MTU scored rushing touchdowns as well.
That doesn’t mean that the Blue Raiders are an absolute waste of time on Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl betting line. They did, after all, end the season with a 5-0 SU and 3-2 ATS run. Those failed covers are a bit misleading as well because they beat UAB 24-21 as -3.5 road faves and then demolished Southern Mississippi 42-21 as -24.0 points road favorites. Still, their spread record is what it is because MTU consistently failed to live up to expectations.
Navy has a very strong habit of controlling the tempo of a matchup. Their unique rushing style keeps their offence on the field much longer than their opponents would like, and if it was easy to stop then they would have lost more than four games this year. And while MTU does a great job offensively, they do a porous job on defense. Opponents scored 25.9 points per game against them, and they were significantly worse at getting endzone stops when travelling.
However, just like gamblers have all season, you can trust Keenan Reynolds and Navy to run away with this game even though the end score might not reflect how dominant they’re going to be against MTU.