Kansas State travels to TCU to take on the seventh ranked team in the nation in the most important game in the Big 12 Conference so far this season. Save for a 6 point loss to Auburn in a 14 to 20 game that they probably should have won, Kansas State would be undefeated.
TCU would be undefeated save for a 58 to 61 loss to Baylor in a game that they probably should have won. Both teams have been impressive enough that a victory here could lead to much talk about putting the winner into the Selection Committee’s Top 4.
— Big 12 Conference (@Big12Conference) November 2, 2014
Will it be the Wildcats or Horned Frogs that cover the college football week 11 against the spread odds.
No. 9 Kansas State Wildcats at No. 7 TCU Horned Frogs
When: Saturday, Nov. 8 at 3:30 pm ET
Where: Amon G. Carter Stadium, Ft. Worth, TX
Betting Line: TCU -5
Betting Kansas State Vs TCU Against The Spread Odds Expert Analysis
Since not covering in their first two games of the season, Kansas State has been absolutely phenomenal against the spread. The Wildcats are 6 and 0 ATS since those first two non-covers. That includes covering the 7 point spread in their 6 point home loss to Auburn.
Kansas State’s claim to fame so far this season is a 31 to 30 win over Oklahoma as a +7 point dog. The K-State defense played a perfect bend but don’t break philosophy in that game. Oklahoma racked up 533 total yards, but the Sooners could only score 30 points. That’s how Kansas State’s D plays. It only allows 321 total yards and 18.6 points per game on average. When it faces a team with a fantastic offense, like it does this Saturday in TCU, it gives up yards but keeps opponents out of the end zone.
Kansas State’s offense is averaging 424 yards and 38 points per game. The Wildcats are fairly balanced with 251.4 passing yards and 172.8 rushing yards on average per matchup. The offense should have much success versus a TCU defense that although only yielding 370 yards and 22.6 points on average per game, gave up 33 points to Oklahoma, 61 points to Baylor and 30 points to West Virginia.
The problem for Kansas State is whether or not the Wildcats’ offense is going to be able to keep up with TCU’s offense. TCU was phenomenal against Texas Tech two games ago when the Horned Frogs racked up 82 points and 785 total yards. TCU can be forgiven if the offense took a step back against the Mountaineers. It’s tough to continue to play at such a high-level, particularly on the road against a top class opponent, after being so efficient the week before.
TCU pulled out the victory, which is a lot more than many expected from them after the Texas Tech win. The Horned Frogs offense should be much more efficient against the Wildcats this Saturday in a game where they figure to get closer to their season long averages of 550 yards and 48 points per game.
The college football betting trends won’t give football handicappers any insight into the winner against the spread. TCU is 7 and 0 ATS in their last 7 games on grass and 9 and 1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Kansas State is 20-5-1 against the spread versus a team with a winning record.
This game comes down to how well Kansas State’s offense is going to match TCU’s offense. The guess here is that the Wildcats’ just won’t be able to keep up. The point spread is more than fair. Texas Christian should cover in this game on Saturday.
Week 11 Against the Spread Odds Pick: TCU -5
— ESPN CollegeFootball (@ESPNCFB) November 4, 2014