In one of the top Week 11 college football games this upcoming Saturday, Kansas State battles TCU for not only Big 12 supremacy but a possible jump into the College Football Playoff. Earlier in the day, Auburn takes on Texas A&M in a game where they have to impress before Oregon and Utah hit the gridiron for what should be a drag out, tough, Pac 12 battle.
Best Chance to Win Big 12 (according to FPI): TCU – 42% Baylor – 28% Kansas St – 26%
— College GameDay (@CollegeGameDay) November 4, 2014
My Week 11 Online College Football Betting Picks
No. 9 Kansas State Wildcats at No. 7 TCU Horned Frogs
When: Saturday, Nov.8 at 7:00 pm ET
Betting Line: TCU -5
The Nov. 15 game at Kansas will have a 2 p.m. kickoff and be televised on FOX Sports 1.
— TCU Football (@TCUFootball) November 3, 2014
Analysis: How good is this game on Saturday night? TCU is an incredible 7 and 1 against the spread. Their only loss straight up was against Baylor as a +7 point dog in a 58 to 61 slugfest. Their only loss ATS was against West Virginia in a 31 to 30 straight up victory as a -3.5 point road favorite.
Kansas State is 6 and 2 against the spread, but the 2 losses ATS occurred in the Wildcats’ first two games of the season. Since that time, K-State has gone 6 and 0 ATS including a 14 to 20 loss to Auburn as a +7 point underdog in a game that most football handicappers agree that they should have won.
It’s tough to give Kansas State 5 points, but TCU regressed in last week’s victory over West Virginia. The Horned Frogs could bounce back with a huge offensive game versus Kansas State. This game will be close but TCU will pull out the cover.
Pick: TCU -5
— K-State Athletics (@kstatesports) November 3, 2014
Texas A&M Aggies at No. 3 Auburn Tigers
When: Saturday, Nov. 8 at 3:30 pm ET
Betting Line: Auburn -21.5
Analysis: The impressive 52 to 28 win over South Carolina on the road was ages ago for Texas A&M and their fans. The Aggies have gone 1 and 3 straight up in their last 4 games. A&M also suspended starting quarterback Kenny Hill for two games. The contest against Auburn will be the second game of the two-game suspension.
Without Hill, the team can’t move the ball or score points. Texas A&M was a -32 point favorite against ULM this past Saturday. What happened? A&M won 21 to 16. What’s worse is that the Aggies only racked up 267 total yards.
Yeah, that’s not going to cut it against Auburn who averages 38 points and about 500 yards a game.
— Texas A&M Football (@AggieFootball) November 4, 2014
Pick: Auburn -21.5
No. 5 Oregon Ducks at No. 17 Utah Utes
When: Saturday, Nov.8 at 10:00 pm ET
Betting Line: Oregon -9.5
Analysis: Since the 24 to 31 straight up loss to Arizona, Oregon has been on a roll. The Ducks have won 4 straight games and they’ve covered the spread in all 4 games.
But they take on an extremely tough Utah team on the road in this matchup on Saturday. Utah is 7 and 0 against the spread versus a team with a winning record and Oregon’s defense does give up 458 yards per game. Could Utah’s offense take advantage?
Maybe, Utah’s offense could. The Utes rush for close to 200 yards a game, meaning that they could potentially keep Oregon’s offense on the sidelines. The Utes’ defense gives up only 21 points and 128 yards per game on average.
This could be one of those tough matchups for Oregon. Giving points on the road is always difficult, but when a team has to do it to a squad with a great rushing attack and a good defense, points become very important. Utah should cover the spread even though they probably lose this game straight up.
Pick: Utah +9.5
— Utah Football (@Utah_Football) November 2, 2014