Bet Week 6 College Football Upset PicksJosh Bailey
The most exciting games for NCAAF week 6 betting slate are almost assuredly the three SEC West showdowns:
- No. 3 Alabama at No. 11 Mississippi,
- No. 6 Texas A&M at No. 12 Mississippi State and
- No. 15 LSU at No. 5 Auburn.
- Arkansas, the odd team out, has the weekend off.
All of the high profile games will have tight spreads where you are better off betting the money line if you are backing the underdog.
Not only do underdogs offer a bigger return than betting on a favorite, but many times, these very same dogs have a great chance to win their respective games outright.
Thanks to some expert betting advice and a bit of in-depth research, you’re about to get the scoop on four teams that have a great opportunity to cash in as underdogs this coming weekend.
With that said and the weekend quickly approaching, let’s rock and roll.
Bet These Week 6 NCAAF Upset Picks
Texas +16 at home against No. 6 Baylor
The Baylor Bears are 4-0 and have the nation’s highest scoring offense while Texas has struggled badly at times this season despite beating beleaguered Kansas 23-0 on Saturday.
Still, I like the Longhorns to cover the huge spread in this contest as they always seem to dial it up a notch against their in-state rivals, particularly at home.
I know Baylor is coming off a solid 49-28 win over Iowa State the last time out and that they’ve scored at least 45 points in all of their games, but I’m still convinced the Longhorns have a legitimate shot despite the fact that every key trend for this matchup is pointing to a Baylor ATS cover at the very least.
Baylor WR Antwan Goodley has put together his combo of size & speed, turning himself into a legitimate NFL prospect http://t.co/49ql0Llal8
— Sports Illustrated (@SInow) October 1, 2014
The Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings, but the last time they visited the ‘Horns they suffered a stunning 56-50 loss.
My Pick: Texas +16 Points
No. 15 LSU +8 at No. 5 Auburn
The LSU Tigers may have slipped up in their 34-29 Week 4 loss to Mississippi State, but I like them to give Auburn all they can handle and then some, particularly seeing as how Auburn had their own slip up in their narrow 20-14 Week 4 win over Kansas State.
LSU averages 41.4 points per game compared to Auburn’s 42.3 points per contest, but it is their defense that I think will lead LSU to the easy ATS cover in this one. LSU is allowing 13.0 points per game compared to the 16.3 points per game that Auburn allows.
LSU is 4-1 ATS in their last five games and has won three straight against Auburn and I like them to cover the spread at the very least.
My Pick: LSU +8 Points
No. 17 Nebraska +7 at No. 10 Michigan State
The Michigan State Spartans may have the higher national ranking coming into this contest, but it is the unbeaten Nebraska Cornhuskers that I like to get the ATS cover and possible outright road win in this Week 6 showdown.
Nebraska pounded Illinois 45-14 in Week 5 and has scored at least 41 points in four of their five games this season.
Michigan State is coming off an emphatic 56-14 win over Wyoming on Saturday, but the Spartans also suffered a discouraging 46-27 road loss at Oregon in Week 2 in their only game this season against a ‘real’ team and I believe they could lose outright to Nebraska in this contest.
The Cornhuskers are ranked seventh in the nation in scoring (45.4 ppg) while also ranking 28th in the nation in points allowed (19.0 ppg). I know Michigan State is ranked third in the country in scoring (50.2 ppg), but the Cornhuskers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against Michigan State and I believe they’re going to cash in again in this intriguing matchup.
My Pick: Nebraska +7 Points
Utah +13.5 at No. 9 UCLA
The UCLA Bruins looked absolutely fantastic in the 62-27 Week 5 blowout of Arizona State on Saturday, but it is the Utah Utes that I really like to cover the nearly two-touchdown spread in this Pac-12 showdown.
Yes, I know Utah suffered a heartbreaking 28-27 loss to Washington State, but that’s one of the reasons I like the Utes to cover the spread against the Bruins.
— UCLA Football (@UCLAFootball) September 30, 2014
UCLA is averaging 38.0 points per game (36th) while allowing 24.8 points per game defensively (64th).
Utah is averaging a stellar 42.0 points per game (19th) while also ranking 31st in points allowed defensively (19.8). Not only that, but the Utes have also two of the last four meetings against the Bruins, though they have lost two straight by seven points each time.
UCLA has failed to cover the spread in all three games this season they were favored by 6.5 points or more and I expect this annual clash to end up a lot closer to a touchdown spread than the nearly two touchdowns it currently is.
My Pick: Utah +13.5 Points