Disappointed Football Fan

NCAA Football Betting Spread – The Clowney Effect Against Florida

We learned earlier this year that Jadeveon Clowney isn’t the only reason that you should take a gamble on or against the South Carolina Gamecocks in NCAA football betting. He may be the top pick in the NFL Draft, but he has also been a tad lackadaisical this year and has been a major reason why the Gamecocks have gone just 7-2 SU this year while maintaining a porous record of 4-5 ATS. Clowney is undoubtedly a great talent, but his fame brought an unwarranted amount of public backing to South Carolina. That’s why betting lines haven’t exactly been fair to the Gamecocks.

Clowney’s numbers won’t jump out at you, but that’s because he’s facing a lot of double and triple teams this year. He has just 2.0 sacks this year, but that hasn’t hurt his draft stock at all. The guy just does so many things well.

The problem, aside from his somewhat questionable work ethic, is that people assume that South Carolina is a stingy defense just because Clowney is there. One man does not make a defense at any level of this game. The Gamecocks have surrendered 22.1 points per game this year, and have allowed at least six opponents to get to the 20-point barrier. When you have the best defensive player in the country, those aren’t acceptable numbers.

In the process, South Carolina has been crushed in NCAA football betting this season. They began the year with a cover and a victory against UNC but then embarked on a four game set where they went just 3-1 SU and 0-4 ATS. Recently, they’ve gone 3-1 SU and ATS, suffering a lone loss against Tennessee as -7.0 favorites.

Florida Gators (4-3) vs. #11 South Carolina Gamecocks (7-2)
The South Carolina Gamecocks are 13.5 point favorites over the Florida Gators in the NCAAF week 12.
Starts: 11/16/2013 7:00PM
Williams Brice Stadium, 1125 George Rogers Boulevard
Columbia, South Carolina


South Carolina is a team peaking a bit too late, which is better than never peaking at all. That’s exactly how you’d describe the Gators season. They are in the midst of a horrifying 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS run that nobody in Gainesville can really fathom. Against true ranked opponents, the Gators are also winless and cover-less in four attempts against UGA, Missouri, LSU and Miami. There is little to no momentum in Florida, and they are facing a steep rebuilding process. This is not a team worth betting on.

That’s especially the case when you have a team like South Carolina on tap under these conditions. Florida is just 1-4 ATS on the road when playing a host that has a winning record, and they’re just 3-8 ATS overall against winning teams. Furthermore, the Gators are only 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games while going just 2-9 ATS when playing in November.

The Gamecocks are a strong bet at home, going 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games at Williams-Brice Stadium, while holing a strong 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 games in the month of November. They’re also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing Florida.

South Carolina is not the team they were touted as early on. There are consistency concerns on offence, and they don’t boast the rushing attack that they have in the past. But against Florida, a team that is falling apart at the seams, they are a strong play as double digit favorites in NCAA football betting no matter what your opinion of Jadeveon Clowney actually is.

NCAA Football Betting Free Pick – South Carolina -13.5