Big Ten Championship Game Betting – Ohio State vs. Michigan State

Michigan State Spartans

Big Ten Championship Game Betting – Ohio State vs. Michigan State

Urban Meyer and Ohio State finally caught the break they were praying for, and can now punch a ticket to the national title gala with a win in the Big Ten Championship game. Challenging them in Indianapolis will be the Michigan State Spartans, a team that has gone a stiff 7-4-1 ATS during their one-loss season. Despite the fact that OSU hasn’t lost a game in two years, this game is going to be a tough run for the BCS hopefuls.

It hasn’t helped that the Buckeyes backers have been getting trampled in the sportsbook. The Buckeyes are just 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games. Granted, they’ve usually faced severely lopsided spreads, and the Big Ten Championship game betting line is going to be the smallest one they’ve faced all season. It’s even harder to think Ohio State will runaway with this game after their harrowing near-loss to Michigan this past Saturday.

#2 Ohio State Buckeyes (12-0) vs. #10 Michigan State Spartans (11-1)
The Ohio State Buckeyes are 5.5 point favories over the Michigan State Spartans in the Big 10 Championship Game.
Starts: 12/07/2013 8:00PM
Lucas Oil Stadium, 500 South Capitol Ave.
Indianapolis, Indiana

 

The Buckeyes and Wolverines almost always have a great game and last weekend was no exception. David Gardner threw 451 yards and 4 touchdowns as the passing game of Michigan absolutely mauled the Buckeyes defensively. Braxton Miller fought back with 133 passing yards and 153 rushing yards, while accumulating a total of 5 touchdowns which included three scores on the ground. Ohio State is more-so a running team which makes matters even more problematic considering how good Michigan State’s rush defense is.

How good are they? The Spartans rank first in overall defense across the board, allowing just 237.3 yards per game (1st) and 11.8 points against (2nd) on average. Their rush defense is tops in the country as well, surrendering just 64.4 yards on the ground. A stifling defense that stacks up perfectly against Ohio State’s offence is a big reason why most are siding with Michigan State’s side of the Big Ten Championship game betting line.

Bonus College Football Week 15 Betting Picks

Date
Away
Home
Pick
Fri, Dec 6, 2013
Bowling Green
Northern Illinois
NIU -3
Sat, Dec 7, 2013
Auburn
Missouri
MIZZ +2
Sat, Dec 7, 2013
Utah State
Fresno State
UTST +3
Sat, Dec 7, 2013
Stanford
Arizona State
ASU -3.5
Sat, Dec 7, 2013
Duke
Florida State
FSU -29
Sat, Dec 7, 2013
Texas
Baylor
BAY -13.5
Sat, Dec 7, 2013
Oklahoma
Oklahoma State
OKLA +10.5

The battle between Braxton Miller and the Michigan State defense is important to keep in mind when you attack the sportsbook this weekend because Miller has not been a great passer overall. To be fair, he’s also not asked to do a lot of passing since Ohio State has routed most of their opponents, but it should be a bit worrying that he has just one game of 250+ passing yards this season. In fact, over the ten games he’s played in this season, Miller has only thrown for more than 200+ yards four times.

Michigan State also offers virtually irresistible balance on offence. Quarterback Connor Cook isn’t the household name that Miller has become over these past two years, but he’s a machine in the pocket. He is completing 58.2 percent of his passes, and has thrown 17 touchdowns against 4 picks. Combine that with the stout rushing game that the Spartans boast, and you can already see the weary Buckeyes scrambling on defense to slow these guys down.

To put things simply, this is not the walk in the park that the general public thinks it will be. Ohio State may have to keep dreaming of a BCS Championship berth because this game is an absolute matchup nightmare for them. We can talk about the playmaking brilliance of Braxton Miller or the supreme leadership offered by Urban Meyer. But the real x-factor in Big Ten Championship game betting is that Michigan State Spartans defense, which will make a name for themselves by stifling the Buckeyes in an upset and clouding an already murky national title picture.

Big Ten Championship Game Betting Pick – Michigan State +5.0