The No. 10 Arizona Wildcats are 4 point favorites when they "host" the No. 20 Boise State Broncos at the University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale, Az on New Year’s Eve.
The Mountain West conference champion Broncos have won eight straight games and are playing in their 13th straight bowl against the Wildcats who have won four of their last five games and are playing in their third straight bowl.
Analyzing My Boise State Vs Arizona Fiesta Bowl Upset ATS Pick
Vizio Fiesta Bowl
No. 20 Boise State Broncos vs. No 10 Arizona Wildcats
Date: Dec. 31, 2014
Start Time: 4 p.m. ET
Location: Glendale, Arizona
Stadium: University of Phoenix Stadium
TV Info: ESPN
Stream Info: WatchESPN.com
Radio: Boise State vs Arizona
Point Spread: Wildcats -4
Game Total: 69
Arizona will win the Fiesta Bowl if
They can contain Boise State’s high-powered offense – and score consistently themselves!
If Arizona wants to win the 2014 Fiesta Bowl, they’re going to have to find a way to contain Boise State’s high-powered offense and put some points on the board themselves and that’s something the Wildcats failed to do in their 51-13 Pac-12 Championship game loss to Oregon on Dec. 5.
Not only did the Boise State Broncos (11-2 SU, 7-6 ATS) put up an average of 39.8 points per game during the regular season, but they also come into this contest on a red-hot roll, having won eight straight games while scoring at least 50 points in five of those contests.
The Wildcats will need to slow down seriously underrated running back Jay Ajayi (1,689 yards and 25 touchdowns) and try to force quarterback Grant Hedrick (13 INTs) into a couple of costly turnovers.
Arizona will need to score early and often against a Broncos defense that recorded an impressive 20 interceptions on the season. Strong safety Darian Thompson hauled in seven interceptions on the season and cornerback Donte Deayon added five while linebacker Kamalei Correa racked up a team-leading 10 sacks.
Boise State will win the Fiesta Bowl if
They avoid Scooby Wright like the Bubonic Plague and rattle Anu Solomon!
Boise State can score the ball with any team in the country, but when they have the ball in the 2014 Peach Bowl, they had better avoid Arizona Wildcats (10-3 SU, 5-8 ATS) middle linebacker Scooby Wright like the Bubonic Plague!
The sophomore linebacker won every significant national defensive player award there is in taking home the Chuck Bednarik and Bronco Nagurski awards as the nation’s top defensive player and the Lombardi Award as the best defensive lineman or linebacker.
A first-team All-American, Wright has a jaw-dropping 153 tackles and 14 sacks to go along with 14other tackles for a loss.
“He has a chip on his shoulder, he loves the game and is a good teammate,” said Wildcats head coach Rich Rodriguez of Wright in a statement. “One of the reasons his numbers are so high is because of his effort.”
Quarterback Anu Solomon had a very impressive season as a freshman, throwing for 3,458 yards and 27 touchdowns and only seven interceptions. If Boise State’s underrated defense can force Solomon into at least one costly turnover, then the Broncos will have a better chance of winning this contest.
The Wildcats scored 26 points or less in each of their three losses this season while putting 13 points or less on the board in two of those contests.
Who will win the Fiesta Bowl?
I’m surprised that 62 percent of the betting public like Arizona is favored to take down a Boise State team that closed out the regular season as one of the hottest teams in the country.
Yes, I know the Broncos don’t play the same kind of competition on a weekly basis that Arizona does in the Pac-12, but the Broncos have proven they can play with any team in the country over the last decade, no matter what conference they play in.
— Fiesta Bowl (@FiestaBowl) December 11, 2014
Arizona is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games while Boise State has gone 3-3 ATS over the same span. In the end, I like this contest to turn into something of a shootout that Boise State narrowly wins.