Can Boise State Pull the Plug on Unbeaten No. 19 San Diego State?
The Boise State Broncos will look to pull the plug on the unbeaten campaign of No. 19 San Diego State when they visit the Aztecs at Qualcomm Stadium on Saturday. If you want to know if the Broncos have what it takes to get the outright upset or cover the spread as a touchdown road dog, then let’s get to my expert betting breakdown right now. The Mountain West rivals will battle on Saturday at 10:30 PM ET.
Boise State Vs San Diego State Week 7 Line & Betting Advice
Boise State Broncos (3-2) at San Diego State Aztecs (6-0)
When: Saturday, October 14, 2017 at 10:30 PM ET
Where: Qualcomm Stadium
Odds: San Diego State Aztecs -7
Why Bet the Boise State Broncos Odds at +7
Boise State dominated BYU in its 24-7 Week 6 win as quarterback Brett Rypien completed 12 of 19 passes for 125 yards with one touchdown and one interception and running back Alexander Mattison rushed 29 times for 118 rushing yards and a pair of touchdowns. The Broncos defense also picked off BYU signal-caller Tyler Mangum twice in the win and held the Cougars to a minuscule 66 rushing yards.
Boise State averages 28.6 points per game (72nd) while allowing 24.6 points per contest defensively (56th).
“We tried to keep the game plan a little easier, from a functional standpoint where there’s not as much thinking so they can go out and play fast and play physical,” offensive coordinator Zak Hill said of Boise State’s Week 6 win.
Why Bet the San Diego State Aztecs Odds at -7
San Diego State absolutely blitzed the UNLV Rebels in their 41-10 Week 6 blowout win as quarterback Christian Chapman completed 14 of 24 passes for 172 yards with one rushing score while running back Rashaad Penny rushed 27 times for 170 yards and two touchdowns.
Through a half-dozen games in 2017, Penny has 143 carries for 993 yards, second in the nation, with nine touchdowns. He also has two receiving touchdowns and a kickoff return touchdown (on just six returns).
“He’s got more rushing yards than 82 (FBS) teams,” Boise State coach Bryan Harsin said. “… He’s able to make somebody miss, he’s able to break a tackle, sometimes bounce a play that’s supposed to hit inside. He’s got really good vision, he’s physical, he runs hard and it shows.”
The Aztecs kept UNLV off the scoreboard in the second half with a great defensive effort to get the win. San Diego State also recorded three sacks and won the time of possession battle by almost 10 minutes. The Aztecs average 31. 8 points per game (56th) while limiting their opponents to just 19. 3 points per contest defensively (30th).
Expert Analysis and Prediction
Boise State has been wildly inconsistent this season and will face a San Diego State team that is simply better than they are on both sides of the ball in this contest. The Broncos have gone an uninspiring 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a winning record and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games while San Diego State has gone a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games and consistent 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 conference contests. More importantly, San Diego State will have the best player on the field in running back Rashaad Penny.
San Diego State wins by double digits to cover the chalk!
Pick: San Diego State -7