California at No. 15 Stanford Line, Predictions & Betting TipsNoah Williams
The Cal Bears became bowl eligible for the first time since 2011 by winning their Week 11 Pac-12 showdown and now, they’ll look to snap another uninspiring skid when they visit the rival Stanford Cardinal on Saturday. The longtime Pac-12 foes will square off in an intriguing Week 12 matchup that looks like a thriller just waiting to happen.
The college football week 11 betting line favors Stanford by 11.5-points to beat Cal. Now, let’s find out if Jared Goff and company can bring home the bacon against Christian McCaffery and the playoff-hopeful Cardinal.
A Closer Look At The California Golden Bears at No. 15 Stanford Cardinal College Football Week 12 Line, My Predictions & Betting Tips
What: California Golden Bears (6-4) at No. 15 Stanford Cardinal (8-2)
When: Saturday, November 21, 2015
Kickoff: 10:30 PM ET
Where: Stanford, CA
Stadium: Stanford Stadium
Weather: 69° F | More Sun than Clouds
Spread: Stanford -11.5
Moneyline: California +370 vs Stanford -465
Game Total: 64.5
Stream: Watch ESPN
Listen: California vs Stanford
Bet The California Golden Bears at +11.5 Because…
California is bowl-eligible and can spoil Stanford’s chances of clinching a Pac-12 North title.
The California Golden Bears (6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS) have one of the best offenses in the country and a gifted quarterback in Jared Goff.
To illustrate my point, look no further than at Cal’s Week 11 win. The Bears hung an insane 760 yards of offense on Oregon State in their 54-24 Week 11 win while covering the spread as a 21-point home favorite.
Gifted quarterback Jared Goff completed 26 of 37 passes for 453 yards with six touchdowns and one interception in the win. The Bears took a 24-10 lead into the half and never looked back in becoming bowl eligible for the first time since 2011.
"It’s a weight lifted off our shoulders," fifth-year senior safety Stefan McClure said of becoming bowl eligible. "Now that that’s behind us, all we’re really focused on is playing football and getting that axe back."
Cal rushed for a season-high 307 yards against the Beavers as running back Tre Watson rushed for 110 yards on 10 carries. For the season, Goff has thrown for 3319 yards with 30 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. The Bears are ranked 23rd in scoring (36.8 ppg) but just 78th in points allowed (28.2 ppg).
Bet The Stanford Cardinal at -11.5 Because…
Stanford is 4-1 ATS at home this season, 7-3 since last season.
The Stanford Cardinal (8-2 SU, 7-3 ATS) are ticked off after losing the last time out and have plenty of motivation to get the win against Cal and keep their CFP playoff hopes alive. Last but not least, Stanford has a player that I believe is the best dual-threat running back in all of college football in Christian McCaffery.
Fifth-year senior quarterback Kevin Hogan completed 28 of 37 passes for 304 yards with two touchdowns and one interception while rushing 11 times for 48 yards and an additional score in Stanford’s heartbreaking 38-36 Week 12 loss against Oregon while never coming close to covering the spread as an 8.5-point home favorite.
"Any time you lose, it stings, it’s tough," linebacker Kevin Anderson said. "If you told me at the beginning of the season we’d have a chance to beat Cal to win the Pac-12 North, go to the Pac-12 championship with a chance to go to the Rose Bowl, I’d say that’s awesome. A little bit of perspective here, but it definitely stings right now."
Gifted dual-threat running back Christian McCaffery rushed 33 times for 147 yards and one touchdown while catching five passes for 42 yards. The son of former NFL star Ed McCaffery leads the nation in all-purpose yards at 241.8 per game,
For the season, Hogan has passed for 2,135 yards with 18 touchdowns and seven interceptions. The Cardinal are ranked 22nd in scoring (37.0 ppg) and an impressive 34th in points allowed (22.0 ppg).
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction
52 percent of the betting public likes Stanford and I say it’s easy to see why!
Stanford has won five consecutive games in this Pac-12 rivalry and I believe they’ll get the win again while narrowly covering the spread, mostly because Cal’s defense has been nonexistent at times over their recent four-game slide.
The Bears allowed over 40 points in two of those four losses while not scoring more than 28 points in any contest. I believe Stanford’s stout defense is going to force Jared Goff into one costly turnover at the very least, if not two.
While the Golden Bears are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games, Cal is also just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games in the month of November and 1-4 ATS in their last five games against a team with a winning record.
Stanford has bounced back nicely from a loss by going 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following an SU loss while also going 7-2 ATS in their last nine games and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a winning record.
With the Golden Bears going 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings and the favorite going a polar-opposite 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings, I think it’s a foregone conclusion that Stanford wins and cashes in!