It is time to see if the California Golden Bears are the real deal. This week they travel to Austin to face the Texas Longhorns. The NCAA football oddsmakers have listed the Golden Bears as 7-point favorites to beat the Longhorns.
Betting Trends That Influenced My Opinion:
- California Golden Bears 7-5 All Games since last season
- Texas Longhorns 7-8 All Games since last season
- California Golden Bears 5-0 On Road since last season
- Texas Longhorns 2-5 At Home since last season
- California Golden Bears 1-3 As Favorite since last season
- Texas Longhorns 3-5 As Underdog or PK since last season
- California Golden Bears 0-1 When Line was 55.5 to 59.5 since last season
- Texas Longhorns 1-2 When Line was 55.5 to 59.5 since last season
- California Golden Bears 0-2 O-U When Line is 50 to 60 since last season
- Texas Longhorns 1-4 O-U When Line is 50 to 60 since last season
- California Golden Bears 0-2 O-U When Line was 55.5 to 59.5 since last season
- Texas Longhorns 0-2 O-U When Line was 55.5 to 59.5 since last season
- Texas Longhorns 2-5 O-U vs Teams Averaging >32 PPG since last season
Analyzing The California Golden Bears Vs Texas Longhorns College Football Week 1 Betting Line, My Expert Pick & How To Watch
What: California Golden Bears (2-0) at Texas Longhorns (1-1)
When: Saturday, Sept 19th, 2015
Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
Where: Austin, TX
Stadium: Royal Texas Memorial Stadium
Weather: 93 °F/Passing Clouds
Wind: Southeast 8mph
Spread: Cal -7
Moneyline: California -250 vs Texas +210
Game Total: 59
Stream: FOX Sports Go
Listen: California Vs Texas
Why Bet On California (-6.5) to Beat Texas
You deserve sympathy if you are a Texas football fan. The Longhorns fired their athletic director, Steve Patterson, after only 22 months on the job this past Tuesday. Now, the football team has to take on one of the top quarterbacks in all of college football in California signal caller Jared Goff.
Goff has been spectacular so far in 2015. California is 2 and 0 both straight up and against the spread primarily because of Goff’s play. Against Grambling in Week 1, Goff completed 24 of 32 passes for 309 yards and 3 touchdowns. California beat Grambling 73 to 14. In Week 2 versus San Diego State, Goff completed 17 out of 24 passes for 321 yards. He again threw 3 touchdown passes.
Goff has tossed 2 interceptions this season, 1 to Grambling and 1 to San Diego State, but he’s been so good that the picks haven’t meant much. If he’s as good against Texas as he has been so far, the Longhorns have little chance of covering the spread, much less beating California straight up.
Why Bet On Texas to Beat California (-6.5)
Texas could only muster 3 points versus Notre Dame in the 3 to 38 blasting they took at the hands of the Irish in Week 1. Texas couldn’t get anything going. The Longhorns were held to 60 yards rushing and 103 yards passing.
The Longhorn fans had to be excited that Texas stepped it up on the offensive end in their 42 to 28 victory over Rice in Week 2. Texas rushed for 149 yards on 28 attempts. The Longhorns averaged 5.3 yards per carry. Texas also passed for 128 yards. What changed?
Strong benched Week 1 QB starter junior Tyrone Swoopes in favor of freshman Jerrod Heard. The buzz on Heard was deafening in Austin during the spring. Heard hails from Denton, TX. He’s a longhorn through and through. He proved that the buzz wasn’t misplaced versus Rice as Heard rushed for 96 yards on 10 carries. He threw 2 touchdown passes, completed 4 out of 7, and ran Strong’s offense to perfection.
If Heard can repeat his performance versus California, Texas might be able to get back on track. As good as Heard is, though, facing Rice is much different than facing California. Not only does California have a better defense, but they have a top game manager in Goff. Although it would be nice to see Texas win one at home, it’s not going to happen. I am picking Cal to win this game by double digits. My final score prediction is California 38, Texas 21.