Can No.1 Bama Cover Huge Spread Vs UK?

NCAAF National Championship Picks

Can No.1 Bama Cover Huge Spread Vs UK?

The top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide won’t have any problems beating the overmatched Kentucky Wildcats when they host their SEC rivals in Week 5, making the only real question surrounding this affair whether or not the Tide cover the Week 5 college football spread as nearly five-touchdown home favorites.

Can The Alabama Crimson Tide Cover The Huge Spread Vs The Kentucky Wildcats?

What: Kentucky Wildcats (2-2) at No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide (4-0)
When: Saturday, October 1, 2016
Start Time: 7:00 PM ET  
Where: Tuscaloosa, AL
Stadium: Bryant-Denny Stadium
Spread: Alabama -34.5
Moneyline:
Game Total: 57.5
Watch: ESPN
Stream: Watch ESPN
Listen: Kentucky vs Alabama

The Wildcats got a nice 17-10 win over South Carolina on Saturday to improve to 2-2 as running back Boom Williams rushed 15 times for 123 yards and the go-ahead touchdown in the fourth quarter and quarterback Stephen Johnson completed 11 of 19 passes for 135 yards.

Running back Benny Snell rushed 16 times for 73 yards and another touchdown to help Kentucky cover the college football betting line as a 2.5-point home favorite.

The Wildcats are ranked 68th in scoring (30.2 ppg) but just 109th in points allowed (35.2 ppg).

For the season, Johnson has completed 65.9 percent of his passes with three touchdowns and one interception while Williams has rushed for a team-high 464 yards and two touchdowns.

The bad news is that Kentucky is just 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games and 3-8 SU in its last 11 games.  

The Crimson Tide throttled Kent State in their 48-0 Week 4 win while covering the spread as an insane 44-point home favorite.

Quarterback Jalen Hurts completed 16 of 24 passes for 164 yards and one touchdown while adding another rushing touchdown in the win. Running back Joshua Jacobs rushed 11 times for 97 yards and two scores and the Tide limited the Golden Flashes to a paltry 166 yards of total offense.

The Tide are ranked a stellar eighth in scoring (46.5 ppg) and equally impressive 16th in points allowed (14.8 ppg). For the season, Hurts has completed 62.7 percent of his passes with five touchdowns and one interception while adding another 251 rushing yards and three touchdowns.

Alabama has gone 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games and a near-perfect 6-1 ATS in its last seven home games.

How To Bet UK vs Bama

While Kentucky picked up a nice win over rebuilding South Carolina last weekend, the Wildcats are clearly not the caliber of team that can pull off the outright upset over the Crimson Tide.

Alabama is 4-0 ATS in their last four home games and 7-3 ATS following an SU win.

Kentucky is 1-4 against the spread following an SU win and 1-6 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a winning record.

However, with the road team in this SEC rivalry covering the spread in each of the last five meetings, I say the Kentucky Wildcats use their solid rushing attack to both, keep the final score close – and find a way to narrowly cover the college football betting line.

My Pick: Alabama 35 Kentucky 10