The South Dakota State will look to cover the spread as huge four-touchdown plus road underdogs when they visit TCU at Amon Carter Stadium on Saturday in the 2016 regular season opener for both teams.
Now, let’s find out if the Jackrabbits can cover against the explosive Horned Frogs.
Should You Bet On South Dakota State To Cover The Betting Spread Vs TCU?
What: South Dakota State Jackrabbits (0-0) at No. 13 TCU Hornet Frogs (0-0)
When: Saturday, September 3, 2016
Start Time: 8:00 PM ET
Where: Fort Worth, TX
Stadium: Amon G. Carter Stadium
Spread: TCU -30.5
Moneyline: South Dakota State +3300 vs TCU -12100
Listen: South Dakota State vs TCU
Bet South Dakota State at +30.5 because…
The Jackrabbits are probably a lot better than you realize.
South Dakota State has won eight games or more in four straight seasons. Starting quarterback Zach Lujan is back after throwing for 1,861 yards and 14 touchdowns and he’ll throw to wideouts Jake Wieneke and Dallas Goedert after he pair combined
for more than 1,900 yards and 14 touchdowns last season. Running back Brady Mengarelli returns after rushing for 742 yards and six touchdowns in 2015.
Defensively, South Dakota State allowed 17.3 points and 371 yards per game. Jesse Bobbit returns after recording an impressive 97 tackles, as does defensive lineman Cole Langer (4.5 sacks) and defensive back Nick Farina (2 INTs).
Bet TCU at -30.5 Because…
The Horned Frogs have far too much talent and are playing at home.
TCU (11-2 SU,7-6 ATS) has won 23 of their last 26 games and has been almost as elite as any team in the country the past two seasons. Unfortunately, the Horned Frogs will be without superstar quarterback Trevone Boykin and wide receiver Josh Doctson when they kick off their 2016 season.
Now, head coach Gary Patterson will turn to former Texas A&M starter Kenny Hill to take over for Boykin in an explosive that has averaged more than 40 points each of the last two seasons.
Wide receivers KaVontae Turpin, Jaelan Austin and Jarrison Stewart combined for 76 catches, 1,051 yards and 11 touchdowns as freshmen and all will have a shot to replace Doctson in the starting lineup. The bad news is that TCU must replace four starters on the offensive line and needs to find a new starting running back to replace Aaron Green.
Defensively, the Horned Frogs will be led by an experienced group of linebackers in Travin Howard, Ty Summers and Montrel Wilson, although Howard and Wilson will both be making the switch from safety.
The defensive line and secondary will both be inexperienced in 2016, but there is potential in the forms of defensive end with Josh Carraway, the team’s sack leader in 2015 and James McFarland, the 2014 sack leader.
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction
I like TCU to get the easy win at home, but I don’t like the high point spread and I’m not sure just how good Kenny Hill will be under center for the Horned Frogs.
TCU could challenge for double-digit wins for the third consecutive season, but I don’t think they’re getting the ATS cover in this Week 1 matchup against a South Dakota State tem that generally doesn’t get embarrassed – by anyone.
TCU has gone 14-2 ATS in its last 16 home games while South Dakota State has lost seven of its last eight road games. Still, I’m going with the Jackrabbits to cover the big spread.