CFB Week 4 Free Pick – SEC Showdown Between Florida at No. 3 AlabamaNoah Williams
If you’re looking for a college football Week 4 free pick, then you’re going to get a great selection on Saturday’s highly-anticipated matchup between the Florida Gators and third-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide.
The Gators head to Tuscaloosa, Alabama, to take on the Crimson Tide on Saturday in a game that will will pit Alabama head coach Nick Saban against one of his former assistants in Gators current head coach Will Muschamp; Muschamp coached under Saban at both LSU and in Miami with the Dolphins.
Was it as an opponent or mentor that Saban praised the job Muschamp has done.
“I have a tremendous amount of respect for Will,” Saban said. “He did a great job for us when he worked for us. He was one of the best assistant coaches that I’ve ever had. I knew that he would make a very, very good head coach. He’s a hard worker, a good recruiter and really does a good job of coaching the players.”
— ESPN CollegeFootball (@ESPNCFB) September 16, 2014
Florida is coming off of a thrilling triple overtime win over Kentucky last week. It’s hard to get a good read on the Gators, since their season opener against Idaho was cancelled due to weather and their only other game was against cellar-dweller Eastern Michigan.
Matchup: Florida Gators at No. 3 Alabama Crimson Tide
Spread: Alabama -15.5
When: Saturday, Sept 20th
Where: Bryant-Denny Stadium
Kickoff: 3:30 PM ET
MY CFB Week 4 Free SEC Pick Preview – Florida at Alabama
The Florida Gators (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) got a win in their second game of the regular season, but they had to go to triple overtime in order to beat back a game Kentucky squad that had its chances to beat the Gators before eventually falling 36-30 in an absolute thriller.
Despite its win, Florida never came close to covering the college football betting line as a 17.5-point home favorite to fall to 1-1 ATS on the young season. Still head coach Will Muschamp said he was proud of his team’s effort.
"Our guys fought," Muschamp told reporters following the win. "It wasn’t always pretty at times."
The Gators have seen gifted wide receiver Demarcus Robinson go absolutely bonkers recently. Robinson caught a whopping 15 passes against Kentucky for 216 yards and two touchdowns and came up with numerous crucial garbs to help the Gators avoid their first loss to Kentucky since 1986.
“Doesn’t surprise me at all, I mean I had to cover him, I had to deal with him all camp, all last year,” said sophomore cornerback Vernon Hargreaves, Robinson’s best friend on the team. “You know, I mean it’s just a matter of time, that’s why I was so confident about him, talking about him at media day. He’s a great player.”
Alabama (3-0 SU, 0-3 ATS) didn’t look overwhelmingly impressive to me on Saturday, but when I looked up, the blowout was on, so I guess the Tide got the job done no matter how ‘it looked’.
— Alabama Football (@AlabamaFTBL) September 15, 2014
Alabama beat the living daylights out of overmatched Southern Mississippi in its convincing, 52-12 Week 3 rout, though they also failed to cover the college football betting line as an insane 47-point home fave.
Crimson Tide head coach Nick Saban said this SEC contest, like all of them, is a meaningful affair for everyone involved.
“Games like this, players really get excited,” Saban said. “If they don’t, they don’t understand what playing Alabama football means and they don’t understand playing in the SEC. But I think we’ve got enough guys on our team that really understand that, so I don’t think that should be an issue.”
Florida has gone 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games in the month of September, but the Gators are also just 10-22-1 ATS in its last 33 games against teams with a winning record and a discouraging 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games overall.
Alabama has gone 0-6-1 ATS in its last seven games and a surprising 0-4-1 ATS in its last five home games, but the Crimson Tide are also 5-2 ATS in its last seven conference games.
I like Florida’s defense a lot this season, but Alabama has won 18 of its last 20 home games and I believe this is the kind of contest that Saban and the Crimson Tide really want to deliver a message in, which is why I think they get the convincing win and narrow ATS cover.