Upset Picks College Football Week 10

College Bowl Game Parlay Picks

We are headed towards three weeks of glorious college football bowl games. With forty bowls this year, it may be hard to pick a handful of winners to parlay. Don’t worry, I have done the hard work for you and selected a trio of winners you need to parlay for this year’s college football bowl season. Let’s get started.

College Bowl Game Parlay Picks

Can #20 LSU beat #13 Louisville in the Citrus Bowl, a pick game? Does #4 Washington have any shot of keeping it close versus #1 Alabama in the Peach Bowl? Is #2 Clemson or #3 Ohio State the parlay pick in the Fiesta Bowl? 

College Football Bowl Game 2-Team Parlay Pick

  • LSU -3.5
  • Washington +14

Buffalo Wild Wings Citrus Bowl
What: No. 20 LSU Tigers (7-4) vs No. 13 Louisville Cardinals (9-3)
When: Saturday, December 31, 2016
Start Time: 11:00 AM ET  
Where: Orlando, FL
Stadium: Camping World Stadium
Spread: LSU -3.5
Watch: ABC
Stream: Watch ESPN
Listen: LSU vs Louisville

Analysis: The Citrus Bowl is a contrast of two teams. Louisville started out the season hot. After the Cardinals demolished Florida State 63 to 20 on Sept. 17, QB Lamar Jackson was a -400 favorite to win the Heisman Trophy and Louisville was being talked up as a CFP team. Then, Louisville lost 36 to 42 to Clemson and finished their season by getting trounced by both Houston and Kentucky.

LSU started out the season going 2-2 straight up. After firing Les Miles, the Tigers got hot. LSU finished the season going 5-2 straight up. Since the Tigers go into the Citrus Bowl off their best effort of the season, a 54 to 39 thrashing of Texas A&M on Nov. 24, they’re the pick.

Louisville’s Jackson is going to have a tough time getting past LSU’s front seven while LSU’s offense should have no trouble putting up points against Louisville’s bad defense.

Pick: LSU

Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl – CFP Semifinal
What: No. 4 Washington Huskies (12-1) vs No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide (13-0)
When: Saturday, December 31, 2016
Start Time: 3:00 PM ET  
Where: Atlanta, GA
Stadium: Georgia Dome
Spread: Alabama -14
Watch: ESPN
Stream: Watch ESPN
Listen: Washington vs Alabama

Analysis: Alabama didn’t cover in every game this season. But the Crimson Tide did cover in most of their games. The 2 teams that had a shot to beat Alabama straight up were Ole Miss, in a 48 to 43 Alabama win on Sept. 17, and LSU in a 10 to 0 Alabama win on Nov. 5.

Ole Miss almost beat Alabama by going mano y mano on the scoreboard. LSU almost beat Alabama by holding the Crimson Tide to only 10 points. Washington might have the best chance to beat the Tide in the CFP because the Huskies do both equally well, play defense and score points on offense.

The Huskies average 477 yards and 44.5 points per game. On defense, Washington gives up only 316 yards and 17.2 points per game on average. From my perspective, 14 points are too many to give to a balanced, tough, well-coached team like Washington.

The Huskies should at least beat Alabama against the spread.

Pick: Washington +14

College Football Bowl Game 3-Team Parlay Pick

  • LSU -3.5
  • Washington +14
  • Clemson +3

Playstation Fiesta Bowl – CFP Semifinal
What: No. 3 Ohio State Buckeyes (11-1) vs No. 2 Clemson Tigers (12-1)
When: Saturday, December 31, 2016
Start Time: 7:00 PM ET  
Where: Glendale, AZ
Stadium: University of Phoenix Stadium
Spread: Ohio State -3
Moneyline: N/A
Game Total: N/A
Watch: ESPN
Stream: Watch ESPN
Listen: Ohio State vs Clemson

Analysis: I’m surprised that Ohio State opened as the favorite versus Clemson. Dabo Sweeney knows exactly what he needs to do to beat a team like Ohio State. That’s expose their defense. Indiana did it. Michigan did it. Clemson should have no trouble doing it because Deshaun Watson, in my opinion, is the best player in college football.

As far as Ohio State’s offense is concerned. Sweeney and his coaches have plenty of time to devise a game plan to throw off Buckeye QB J.T. Barrett. D-coordinators can confuse Barrett by mixing up coverages in the secondary.

Clemson should win this game straight up. 

Pick: Clemson