College Football ATS Power RankingsNoah Williams
The 2015 College Football season kicks off in a few weeks. And that means its time to get the latest info on which college team to bet on and which ones you should run to the hills from.
— ESPN CollegeFootball (@ESPNCFB) July 23, 2015
With the information that I have gleaned after studying every college blog, tweet and news report that i could get my hands on, I am ready to rank the top 25 against-the-spread college football teams that every college football fan needs to bet on.
2015 College Football Against The Spread Power Rankings
** Last season ATS records
1. Baylor Bears, 7-5-1
The Bears ended up at 7-5-1 against the spread in 2014. They should be much better against the spread this season because they’ve got a shutdown defense to go along with one of the best offenses in the nation.
2. TCU Horned Frogs, 11-2
At 11 and 2 against the spread last season TCU garnered the top spot in the ATS Power Rankings. This season they should be close to Baylor in terms of covering the spread. The difference might be TCU’s defense won’t be as good and it’s doubtful that the Horned Frogs get as many easy spreads to deal with this season as they did last season.
3. Ohio State Buckeyes, 10-5
The Buckeyes 10 and 5 record versus the spread in 2014 was actually very good. Since they’re the favorites to repeat as College Football Playoff champions, they might have a tougher time covering in some games this season than they did last season. We’ll see.
— FOX Sports (@FOXSports) July 24, 2015
4. Alabama Crimson Tide, 5-9
The Crimson Tide ended up ranked one-hundred eleventh based on ATS record. A lot of pressure was placed on Alabama to win the very first College Football Playoff. Most of that pressure has subsided. The Tide could roll to easy ATS wins this season.
5. Oregon Ducks, 10-5
If Oregon replaces Marcus Mariota without any issues, they should be just as good, if not better, against the spread in 2015 as they were in 2014.
6. Texas A&M Aggies, 5-8
The 5 and 8 record against the spread in 2014 had a lot to do with A&M’s fluctuating QB situation. Now, the Aggies know that Kyle Allen is the starter. The defense is going to be much better this year than last year as well.
7. Auburn Tigers, 4-9
Here’s a team that could easily turn around its ATS record from 2014. Auburn will have a better defense with Will Muschamp coaching it and Gus Mahlzan’s offense will be one of the best in the nation.
— ESPN CollegeFootball (@ESPNCFB) July 28, 2015
8. Michigan State Spartans, 9-4
Michigan State should put up points again, but how tight will the defense be this season? That’s the question and the reason why Sparty doesn’t show up in the Top 5 ATS…yet.
9. Arkansas Razorbacks, 10-3
A 10 and 3 record against the spread in 2014 made Arkansas one of the darlings of football bettors everywhere. The Razorbacks will be hard pressed to repeat such a great record but they deserve the Top 10 ranking until someone knocks them out.
10. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs, 11-3
La Tech is the first of many teams on the Top 25 ATS Power Rankings that most football handicappers don’t pay attention to. Louisiana Tech has a great shot of moving up week to week and should be taken seriously.
11. Georgia Bulldogs, 8-5
An 8 and 5 record against the spread from last season isn’t too bad considering how deep the SEC was. Georgia could be even better this season against the spread since Nick Chubb is one of the top running backs in the country.
12. Massachusetts Minutemen, 8-4
Even though the Minutemen ended up at 3 and 9 straight up last season, they went 8 and 4 against the spread. UMass was such a huge dog in almost every game that they tended to cover spreads way more than a lot of other teams. History could repeat itself this season.
13. LSU Tigers, 8-5
Here’s another team from the SEC that could be better against the spread this season than it was last season. LSU has a top RB in Leonard Fournette and very good defense.
14. Utah Utes, 9-4
The Utes were impressive last season going 9 and 4 straight up and against the spread. If the Utes can play defense as well this season as last season, they’ll end up higher in the ATS Rankings.
15. Texas State Bobcats, 9-3
The Bobcats ended up 7 and 5 straight up. The lack of information on the Bobcats could keep them in the Top 25 ATS Rankings for most of the season.
16. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, 10-4
The Yellow Jackets ability to rush as if they were a passing team means that they score a lot of points, but can also slow it down to keep their opponents from driving for too many scores. That usually leads to covers ATS.
17. Western Michigan Broncos, 10-3
The 10 and 3 against the spread record last season was awesome. As long as P.J. Fleck is their coach, they figure to be the class of the MAC and to continue to cover against the spread.
18. Duke Blue Devils, 8-4-1
Duke should continue to excel against the spread in the ACC in 2015. The Blue Devils still aren’t taken seriously as a football team by many handicappers.
19. Georgia Southern Eagles, 9-3
Last year’s 9 and 3 ATS record gets the Eagles into the Top 20 of the ATS Power Rankings. They’ll need to continue to perform in order to stay there.
20. Texas El Paso Miners, 9-4
The Miners out performed yet again in 2014. They went 7 and 6 straight up and 9 and 4 against the spread.
21. Rice Owls, 9-4
You had to have been surprised by how well Rice performed in 2014. They took an 8 and 5 straight up record into the off-season to go along with the 9 and 4 ATS record.
22. Marshall Thundering Herd, 9-5
Marshall played well in order to secure a 9 and 5 ATS record. The expectations are much less on the Herd this season than it was last season.
23. Missouri Tigers, 9-5
Missouri backed up a terrific 11 and 3 straight up record with a 9 and 5 ATS record. The Tigers get into the Top 25 ATS Rankings even though they probably won’t last long.
24. Florida International Golden Panthers, 8-4
Nobody expected the Golden Panthers to be a good team last season. They weren’t. They ended up at 4 and 8. But, like so many other okay teams, Florida International managed to cover in a lot of games. Can they repeat?
25. Nebraska Cornhuskers, 8-4-1
Expectations might be even lower this season, which means that Nebraska could surprise in a relatively weak Big Ten Conference.
— FOX College Football (@CFBONFOX) July 23, 2015
College Football Week 1 Schedule
|Thursday, September 3|
|Michigan +6||Utah -6||46||FS1||Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City||8:30 PM ET|
|TCU -14||Minnesota +14||57||ESPN||TCF Bank Stadium, Minneapolis||1:00 PM ET|
|Friday, September 4|
|Baylor -34||SMU 34||73.5||ESPN||Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dallas||7:00 PM ET|
|Washington +3||Boise State -3||40.5||ESPN||Bronco Stadium, Boise||10:15 PM ET|
|Saturday, September 5|
|Stanford -12||Northwestern +12||44.5||ESPN||Ryan Field, Evanston||12:00 PM ET|
|BYU +5||Nebraska -5||66||ABC||Memorial Stadium, Lincoln,||3:30 PM ET|
|Louisville +10 .5||Auburn -10.5||58.5||CBS||Georgia Dome, Atlanta||3:30 PM ET|
|Virginia +17||UCLA -17||53.5||FOX||Rose Bowl, Pasadena||3:30 PM ET|
|Arizona State +2.5||Texas A&M -2.5||66.5||ESPN||NRG Stadium, Houston||7:00 PM ET|
|Texas +10||Notre Dame -10||55.5||NBC||Notre Dame Stadium, Notre Dame||7:30 PM ET|
|Wisconsin +10.5||Alabama -10.5||52.5||ABC||AT&T Stadium, Arlington||8:00 PM ET|
|Monday, September, 7|
|Ohio State -13||Virginia Tech +13||54.5||ESPN||Lane Stadium, Blacksburg||8:00 PM ET|