College Football Betting Heavily Favoring Ohio State at Michigan

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College Football Betting Heavily Favoring Ohio State at Michigan

There is no perfect way to determine which teams deserve a crack at the national title, but the second ranked Ohio State Buckeyes certainly have a strong case. They’ve been a mild NCAAF betting force at just 6-5-1 ATS this year, but are an insane 23-0 SU in the past two seasons since Urban Meyer took control of this team. The only meaningful school that has a similar track record over two seasons is Alabama, so there’s an argument to be made that Ohio State deserves a shot at the BCS Championship simply by virtue of their two-year undefeated streak, especially if they’re able to overwhelm Michigan State in the Big Ten Championship game.

Before that, however, they have their biggest rival on tap this coming Saturday when they visit the Michigan Wolverines in their regular season finale. This has always been a game that the Buckeyes have dominated. They’re 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings between the two and they escaped with a 26-21 victory last year as home favorites. This weekend, they’re already favored by more than two touchdowns, and this spread will likely grow as we get closer and closer to the match.

#2 Ohio State Buckeyes (11-0) vs. Michigan Wolverines (7-4)
Ohio State is a 14.5 point favorites over Michigan.
Starts: 11/30/2013 12:00PM
Michigan Stadium, 1201 S. Main St.
Ann Arbor, Michigan

 

If there’s any reason to downplay Ohio State’s national title eligibility, it’s the lacking strength of the Big Ten and I generally hate that argument. The Buckeyes have won their past six games by an average of +33.6 points. What more could you possibly ask of them?

Eventually the only thing that Ohio State can control is their own schedule and their own win-loss record. Their NCAAF betting backers have been getting crushed under the weight of lopsided spreads, but the line on this game offers a lot of encouragement. The Buckeyes have traveled four times this season, and are 4-0 SU and ATS in those games, besting Illinois, Purdue, Northwestern and California. There’s literally no reason to worry about them against Michigan. The only reason that line isn’t higher is because of the massive public backing behind the home bound Wolverines.

BONUS NCAAF BETTING PICKS

Date
Away
Home
Pick
Fri, Nov 29 2013
Arkansas
LSU
LSU -24.5
Fri, Nov 29 2013
Fresno State
San Jose State
SJSU +28.5
Fri, Nov 29 2013
South Florida
Central Florida
UCF -27
Sat, Nov 30 2013
Baylor
TCU
Baylor -13
Sat, Nov 30 2013
Alabama
Auburn
AUB +10.5

It’s been a relatively trying time for the Wolverines, who have dropped four of their last six games straight up, while going just 3-3 ATS over that same span. They 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS in their last 5 home games, but that has a ton to do with the weaknesses in the Big Ten this year. Michigan has also surrendered 29.8 points against on average in their last 6 games. There won’t be much that they can do to cover this NCAAF spread with a defense that can’t keep anyone out of the endzone. Playing one of the best programs in the country only compounds the issue.

This game annually attracts a huge amount of attention in the football world and in the gambling universe, so there’s plenty of motivation for Ohio State to turn things up a notch and paint the walls with Michigan’s blood here. The BCS despises the Big Ten in general, but Meyer’s wrecking crew can achieve some reprieve here by devouring the Wolverines and then smashing the Spartans in the Big Ten Championship game. It may not be enough to get them in to the BCS Championship, but it will be more than enough to appease their NCAAF betting faithful as we inch closer and closer to another exciting round of college bowl games.

NCAAF Betting Pick – Ohio State -14.5