College Football Betting Picks Week 9Noah Williams
The second-ranked Oregon Ducks and No. 5 Missouri will both look to remain unbeaten when they take on their respective opponents in two of the only four pairings on the Week 9 docket featuring two Top 25 teams battling one another.
The Ducks will play host to No. 12 UCLA in an intriguing Pac-12 matchup while red-hot Missouri tries to lay a humbling smackdown on No. 20 South Carolina in its SEC showdown. Leading off this trio of Week 9 all-Top 25 matchups, is Saturday’s Big 12 date between No. 10 Texas Tech and No. 17 Oklahoma.
Okay, now that you know who’s playing whom, let me get started with my expert analysis on each contest.
College Football Betting Picks Week 9
The Texas Tech Red Raiders (7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS) don’t have a big-name Heisman Trophy contender on their roster, but that hasn’t stopped them from being one of the few remaining unbeaten teams in the nation heading into Week 9.
The Oklahoma Sooners (6-1 SU, 3-4 ATS) are looking to record consecutive wins after getting pounded by Teas two weeks ago. Oklahoma absolutely manhandled overmatched Kansas to win 34- 19 in Week 8, though they failed to cover the spread as a 21-point road favorite to fall to a disappointing 0-3 ATS over their last three games.
Texas Tech is coming off a convincing 37-27 win over West Virginia the last time out, cashing in as a 4-point road favorite against the Mountaineers.
Analysis: I really like Teas Tech freshman quarterback Davis Webb and the maturation he’s continuing to show with each outing. More importantly, I love the way Teas Tech spreads the ball around to a plethora of receivers and running backs in its pro style offense.
I don’t think Oklahoma is nearly as explosive offensively and ultimately, that will be their downfall on the road against a well-balanced Red Raiders team that has a lot to play for in this contest.
Texas Tech is 6-2 ATS in its last eight road games while Oklahoma has gone 0-4 ATS in its last four conference games. Last but not least, the Home team in this Big 12 rivalry has gone 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings. Back the Red Raiders to get the SU home win and accompanying ATS cover with just a bit of room to spare.
The Pick: Texas Tech -7 Points
The UCLA Bruins (5-1 SU, 5-1 ATS) and the Oregon Ducks (7-0 SU, 6-1 ATS) both have plenty of reasons to go all out in the quest for a victory when they go toe-to-toe in a Pac-12 clash that has all the makings to turn out to be one of the best games on the Week 9 docket.
UCLA had its five-game SU and ATS winning streaks snapped in its humbling 24-10 Week 8 loss to Stanford while failing to cover the spread as a 4-point road underdog.
Oregon rolled all over overmatched Washington State in its 62-38 Week 9 win though the Ducks failed to cover the spread as an insane 40-point home favorite.
Analysis: I like the Oregon Ducks and believe they could meet Alabama in the national title game this season, but I don’t like them to cover the three-touchdown spread in this matchup.
Yes, Oregon has won four straight over UCLA, but the Ducks are just 2-2 ATS over the stretch and have struggled to cover a spread this high, doing so just once against the Bruins over the L/4 meetings.
The Ducks and their high-powered offense do average 17.8 points per game more than the Bruins while also allowing 2.1 fewer points per game defensively, but the fact of the matter is that this spread looks to be just a few points too high for the Ducks to cover.
UCLA is 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss while Oregon has gone 1-5 ATS in their last six home games against a team with a winning road record.
The Underdog and road team in this Pac-12 rivalry are an identical 7-3 ATS, making the UCLA Bruins the right pick to cover the spread as they look to bounce back from their first loss of the season.
The Pick: UCLA +21 Points
The South Carolina Gamecocks (5-2 SU, 2-5 ATS) are going to have their hands full trying to avoid their second consecutive loss on Saturday when they take on the streaking, fifth-ranked Missouri Tigers (7-0 SU, 7-0 ATS) in a Week 9 SEC battle that will surely have postseason implications for both teams.
South Carolina took a humbling 23-21 loss on the chin in Week 8, falling to longtime SEC rival Tennessee 23-21 while never coming close to covering the spread as a 7-point road favorite to fall to a pitiful 1-5 ATS over their last six games.
Missouri remained undefeated – and one of the hottest ATS teams in the nation – by pounding Florida 36- 17 in Week 8 to easily cover the NCAAF betting line as a 3-point home underdog to move to a perfect 5-0 ATS over their last five games.
Analysis: I love the way Missouri is playing right now and have no doubt that the Tigers are the team to back in this intriguing SEC matchup. Sophomore quarterback Maty Mauk is coming off his best game of the season and the Tigers have a stable of underrated running backs that all know how to get the job done.
While both of these teams allow just a shade over 21.0 points per game defensively, the Missouri Tigers are clearly the better offensive team, averaging 11.7 points per game more than the Gamecocks coming into this matchup.
South Carolina is just 1-4 ATS in its L/5 conference games and a identical 1-4 ATS in its L/5 road games. Missouri , on the other hand, has compiled an impressive 3-0-1 ATS mark in their last four home games while also going 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against SEC opponents.
Gary Pinkel’s streaking Missouri Tigers are the right pick in this one college football gamblers.
The Pick: Missouri -3 Points