The pre-season college football rankings are out and so are the season win totals. Let’s take a closer look at how the two stack up.
College Football Season Win Totals Over/Under Analysis
25. Northwestern: 6 ½
The Wildcats will look to challenge for the Big Ten West. It all depends on quarterback Hunter Johnson, a 5-star recruit in 2016, who transfers from Clemson. With an improved offensive line, Johnson should lead Northwestern to at least 7 wins.
24. Iowa State: 8
With Brock Purdy working behind an offensive line that returns 5 starters, the Cyclones are well-positioned to challenge for the Big 12 title. The schedule is more than workable. So, consider the OVER on the total.
23. Stanford: 6 ½
Stanford is in rebuild mode. Then again, by going under we’re expecting a David Shaw coached squad to win less than 7 games. That won’t happen. Go over.
22. Syracuse: 7 ½
Syracuse is clearly the second-best team in the ACC after Clemson. Even if the Orange lose to Clemson in Week 3, they should lose no more than 2 other games during the regular season. That’s 8 wins.
21. Washington State: 8
Washington State returns 4 players from an offensive line that allowed only a single sack for every 52 pass attempts. The defense has improved for four straight seasons. The problem is the schedule. This is tough, but we must have faith in underrated coach Mike Leach. Go over.
20. Michigan State: 8
The Spartans led the nation in rush defense last season. The defense should be better this season. The big issues will be along the offensive line. That’s the problem area, which is why 7 wins is more probable than 9.
19. Iowa: 7 ½
The Hawkeyes have all the making of a Big Ten West Champion. They return their quarterback, the best players along the offensive line, and plenty of experienced defenders. Unfortunately, they’re on the road against Iowa State, Michigan, Northwestern, Wisconsin, and Nebraska. The ceiling is 7 wins.
18. Wisconsin: 8
Forever, Wisconsin’s bread and butter has been a stout offensive line. That is in line to change this season because the Badgers are in O-line rebuild mode. The schedule is full of trap games: at South Florida, at Nebraska, at Minnesota. Wisconsin might get to 8 wins. More than likely, they only win 7.
17. Central Florida: 9
Central Florida went undefeated last season. They return 4 offensive linemen and enough on defense to go undefeated again. Pencil the Knights in for 10 wins.
16. Auburn: 7 ½
Can the great Auburn Tigers really go 7-5 just like last season? They can because unlike the rival Crimson Tide, the Tigers have a ridiculously tough schedule. They’re at LSU, Florida, and Texas A&M. They open the season against Oregon, and they play both Bama and UGA. Go under.
15. Utah: 9
Utah should field a dominant defensive line. The rest of the defense should dominate as well. The defense alone should get the Utes to 10 wins because the schedule is easy.
14. Penn State: 8 ½
The Penn State offense is in rebuild mode now that Trace McSorley is gone. At Ohio State, at Michigan State, and at Iowa should be 3 losses. It’s hard to see the Nittany Lions beating Michigan, which means under is the play.
13. Oregon: 8 ½
Justin Herbert is a Heisman Trophy candidate. But the Ducks must travel to Stanford, Washington, USC, and ASU. Plus, they open against Auburn. Go under.
12. Washington: 9 ½
10 wins is a lock for the Huskies. Why? Their road games are against Oregon State, Colorado, Arizona, BYU, and Stanford. Only Stanford poses a danger.
11. Texas A&M: 7 ½
A&M returns 4 offensive linemen, their quarterback, and a dominant defensive line. Even with all that, the Aggies will find it hard to win 8 games because they’re the only team in the nation that travels to Clemson, Georgia, and LSU. Oh, they also play Alabama. Still, if A&M only loses to those 4 stud squads, they get 8 wins. Go over.
10. Texas: 9 ½
10 wins is a lot. The Longhorns’ schedule says they lose at least 3 games. Not only must they battle Oklahoma, but they take on LSU and travel to TCU, West Virginia, and Iowa State. Under is the play.
9. Notre Dame: 9
The Irish’s only two truly difficult matchups are on the road against Michigan and Georgia. Ian Book returns at quarterback. The offensive line is strong. The defense is talented. If Notre Dame can upset the Wolverines and Bulldogs, they should go undefeated. Double-digit wins is a lock.
8. Florida: 9
The Gators could take a big step forward in Dan Mullen’s second season as head coach. The schedule looks strong on paper. It’s not. The only tough road game is at LSU while Florida is good enough to beat Georgia at home. Here’s another team that should secure at least 10 wins.
7. Michigan: 10
Michigan battles its biggest Big Ten rivals at home. This is the season that Jim Harbaugh takes the Wolverines to the College Football Playoff. 11 wins are in the Wolverines’ future.
6. LSU: 9
The Tigers return talent on both sides of the ball. If they can beat Florida or Texas A&M at home, they will win 10 games. So, go over.
5. Ohio State: 10
Ohio State lost quarterback Dwayne Haskins, defensive end Nick Bosa, and most importantly, coach Urban Meyer. The Buckeyes are more likely to lose 3 games than to win 11. Under it is.
4. Oklahoma: 10 ½
Jalen Hurts takes over at quarterback. Lincoln Riley brought in Alex Grinch to improve the defense. The Sooners should be staring at an undefeated regular season. That’s 12 wins.
3. Georgia: 11
Georgia will field a great offense because the line is tight. Unfortunately, they’re not deep at RB or WR. The defense is full of inexperienced players. The schedule is tough. Definitely going under here.
2. Alabama: 11
Bama will field one of the highest-scoring offenses in NCAAF. The defense will be solid as usual. Only 3 games could cause the Tide trouble: at Texas A&M, LSU, and at Auburn. Alabama wins all 3. Go over.
1. Clemson: 11 ½
The defending champions battle Texas A&M and Syracuse back-to-back. Other than that, nobody on the schedule should challenge the Tigers. Like Alabama and Oklahoma, Clemson should go undefeated this season. 12 wins it is.