College Football SEC Super Saturday Week 9Noah Williams
College Football Week 9 betting picks that all feature an SEC powerhouse that plans on competing for a BCS bow game bid.
Let’s get started in Texas where Johnny Manziel is still doing his thing in a big way, even if there are some other favorites in front of him to win this year’s Heisman.
The Vanderbilt Commodores (4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS) got a huge upset win in Week 8 while Johnny Manziel and the Texas A&M Aggies (5-2 SU, 3-4 ATS) took a heartbreaking defeat on the chin the last time out.
Now both teams will look to get the win in this huge Week 9 SEC battle.
Vanderbilt took down Georgia 31-27 to cash in as a 6.5-point home underdog the last time out while moving to 3-1 SU over their last four games and 2-1 ATS over their L/3.
Texas A&M lost a heartbreaker to Auburn in Week 8, falling 45-41 as officials blew a late call that would have set the Aggies up for a potential game-winning score.
Analysis: Despite each team’s respective Week 8 outcome, I am absolutely stunned that anyone would have the Aggies as such large home favorites in this contest. Texas A&M has the far superior offense, averaging 13.3 points per game more than the Commodores, but it is Vanderbilt that has the better defense, allowing an ironic 13.3 fewer points per game than the Aggies.
Expect the final score of this contest to be a lot closer to a touchdown spread than the near, three-TD spread it currently sits at.
Vanderbilt is 8-1 ATS in its L/9 games following an SU win and an encouraging 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall. Teas A&M is just 6-15 ATS in its L.21 games against a team with a winning record and 1-7 ATS in its last eight games in the month of October.
Keep it simple and back the Vanderbilt Commodores.
The Pick: Vanderbilt +18 Points
The Tennessee Volunteers (4-3 SU, 4-3 ATS) got a big-time win in upsetting South Carolina 23-21 to cash in as a 7-point home dog last weekend, but their joy will be short-lived because this week, the Vols get to face the top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide (7-0 SU, 4-3 ATS).
Nick Saban’s Tide rolled all over beleaguered Arkansas in its 52-0 Week 9 win to easily cover the spread as a 29.5-point home favorite and move to 3-1 ATS over their last four games.
Not only that, but Alabama has won six straight games over Tennessee – with each of the last three meetings resulting in identical 31-point wins for the Crimson Tide.
Analysis: Three consecutive 31-point wins over the Volunteers, combined with their 52-0 shutout of Arkansas last weekend, tell me that Tennessee is in big trouble in this Week 9 battle despite the huge point spread.
Tennessee is just 1-7-1 ATS in its L/9 meetings against Alabama while the Favorite in this SEC rivalry has gone 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
Last but not least, Alabama is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games in the month of October, so this one is as close to a lock as it gets NCAAF gridiron gamblers.
The Pick: Alabama -28 Points
Maybe it’s me, but I want to know how the hell LSU gets to play a Furman (3-4 SU) team that isn’t even in the same class of programs as the Tigers.
Nevertheless, some books have this spread at a whopping 46 points, but I wouldn’t touch this game with a stick as LSU could win by absolutely any margin.
Analysis: Sure Furman is coming off a 27-10 win over Appalachian State the last time out but LSU is going to be in a foul mood after falling to Mississippi 27- 24 in Week 9. Mot sportsbooks have no odds for this matchup and rightfully so as the Tigers will cruise to victory.
The Pick: LSU to win