College Football Spread Betting Pick – No. 22 Clemson at No. 1 Florida StateJosh Bailey
If you’re looking for a great Week 4 college football spread betting pick, then you should check out this expert betting breakdown on Saturday’s showdown between the Clemson Tigers and Florida State Seminoles.
The Tigers will look to hand the Seminoles their first loss since 2012 when the longtime ACC rivals square off on Saturday live from Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee in a contest that I believe is offering plenty of value.
Clemson has not forgotten the debacle that took place at the hands of eventual national champion Florida State Seminoles on its home turf last season.
The Tigers were ranked No. 3 in the nation, and the No. 5 Seminoles went to Death Valley where Florida State used the 51-14 shellacking as their coming out party before their impressive national championship run leaving the Tigers humiliated in front of a national television audience.
— ACC Digital Network (@theACCDN) September 16, 2014
“We’ve tried to remind these guys that we did get embarrassed out here, make no mistake about it,” Clemson offensive coordinator Chad Morris said. “Yes, we’ve definitely talked about it.”
The teams meet again Saturday night — this time in Tallahassee. Both, however, are in different positions.
Matchup: Clemson Tigers at Florida State Seminoles
When: Saturday, September 20, 2014
Where: Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, Florida
Kickoff: 8:00 PM ET
Spread: Florida State -19.5
Clemson Tigers at Florida State Seminoles Spread Betting Preview
Clemson (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) evened its record at 1-1 by beating the snot out of South Carolina State 73-7 in Week 2 to cash in as a whopping 34-point home favorite. The win came one week after the Tigers got trounced by Georgia 45-21 as a 10-point road dog.
— Clemson Athletics (@ClemsonTigers) September 16, 2014
The Tigers saw freshman backup quarterback Deshaun Watson come in off the bench to outperform starter Cole Stoudt while completing eight of nine passes for 154 yards with three TD passes.
Florida State (2-0 SU, 0-2 ATS) is coming off a convincing, but strange, 37-12 victory over the Citadel in their Week 2 matchup on September 6, though the Seminoles never came close to covering the spread as an insane 58.5-point home favorite.
Heisman Trophy-winning quarterback Jameis Winston completed 22 of 27 passes for 256 yards with two touchdowns, though the ‘Noles did give up a whopping 250 rushing yards defensively in the win.
Clemson Tigers at Florida State Seminoles Spread Betting Analysis
It’s nice that Florida State is off to a 2-0 start heading into this contest, but I’m not very convinced that the Seminoles haven’t become a bit complacent after winning it all last season.
Florida State has won two straight and three of the last four in this series overall, including last season’s emphatic 51-14 beat-down in Clemson – and I think this matchup is the kind of contest that could get the Seminoles’ competitive juices flowing again after seeing them play some lethargic football in their first two games of the season.
Clemson believe they can learn a lesson from last season’s loss, but I’m not buying it.
"We’ve tried to remind these guys that we did get embarrassed out here, make no mistake about it," Clemson offensive coordinator Chad Morris said. "Yes, we’ve definitely talked about it."
Florida State’s players believe this game will serve as the wake-up call they’ve needed so far this season.
"It was definitely a turning point in a game that propelled us," Seminoles tackle Cam Erving said. "We knew we were good, but the thing about it was we had to go out and continue to do the little things we did to have success. That’s what we want to do now. Take those same habits that we took from last year and just apply it to the game this year."
While the Clemson Tigers have gone 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games and an encouraging 12-5 ATS in their last 17 conference games, Florida State has gone 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games, 4-0 ATS in their last four conference games and a consistent 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
The Seminoles are my pick, seeing as how they routed Clemson last season and the Tigers got soundly spanked by Georgia in their 24-point Week 1 loss to the Bulldogs.