New Year's Week College Football Bowl Game 5 Star Lock Picks

College Football Week 10 Upset Picks

There is an awesome slate of games in College Football Week 10. There are quite a few upset possibilities as well.

The first upset to look for occurs in the Texas Tech at West Virginia game. Both Texas Tech and West Virginia have high-scoring offenses. TCU battles Oklahoma State in another Big 12 matchup that’s ripe for an upset winner. The final upset game takes place in the Pac 12 when California travels to Oregon. Remember that even though the odds are listed, all teams are chosen as college football week 10 betting upsets on the moneyline.

A Closer Look At My College Football Week 10 Upset Picks

Texas Tech at West Virginia
When: Saturday, Nov. 7 at 12:00 pm ET
Odds: West Virginia -7.5

The odds started out as West Virginia -7.5. The spread has since gone to West Virginia -8.5. All of the early money is going on the Mountaineers. That’s strange considering that Texas Tech appears to have the offense to counter anything that the Mountaineers put on the score board.

West Virginia has lost 4 games in a row both straight up and against the spread. The Mountaineers lost 24 to 44 to Oklahoma, 26 to 33 to Oklahoma State, 38 to 62 to Baylor and 10 to 40 to TCU. West Virginia is reeling.

Texas Tech had a 38 to 28 lead over Oklahoma State at halftime in their last. They ended up getting outscored 38 to 15 in the second half and lost to the undefeated Cowboys. But, Oklahoma State is much better than West Virginia. The Mountaineers appears to have given up on the season while Texas Tech is still having fun while averaging over 600 yards per game.

Pick: Texas Tech

No. 5 TCU at No. 12 Oklahoma State
When:  Saturday, Nov. 7 at 3:30 pm ET
Odds: TCU -5

The Horned Frogs have turned it on lately. Sure, TCU is undefeated. But in their games earlier in the season, the Horned Frogs just didn’t appear to be playing at as high a level as they’re capable of playing at. Lately, they‘ve been fantastic. TCU has gone 3 and 1 ATS in their last 4 games.

But, those 4 games have been against Texas, Kansas State, Iowa State and West Virginia. None of those teams are going to put up much of a fight. It’s difficult to understand why TCU is a -5 point road favorite against the undefeated Oklahoma State Cowboys.

The Cowboys have road wins against Texas, West Virginia and Texas Tech. The Cowboys are averaging 44 points per game while allowing less than 24 points per game on defense. TCU’s offense is terrific, but the defense isn’t all that great. The Horned Frogs’ D gave up 45 points to the same Kansas State team that scored 0 against Oklahoma a week later.
Oklahoma State is the play.

Pick: Oklahoma State

California at Oregon
When: Saturday, Nov. 7 at 10:30 pm ET
Odds: Oregon -4.5

So, Oregon wins 2 in a row, California loses 3 in a row, and all of a sudden Oregon is a more than 3 point home favorite against the Golden Bears? Neither one of these teams plays great defense.

But, and this is something to keep in mind, California almost upset USC, who has been on a tear recently. The Trojans destroyed Utah 42 to 24 as a -6 point home favorite in a game where Utah was ranked third in the nation. USC is a much better team than ASU who put up 55 against Oregon in the Ducks’ 61 to 55 win.

California still has one of the best quarterbacks in the nation in Jared Goff. Goff should shred a defense that’s allowing an average of 496.9 yards and over 38 points per game.

Pick: California