College Football Week 12 Lock Picks – Bet These ATS Road FavoritesJosh Bailey
There appears to be some great lock pick plays in Week 12 of college football, especially for three ranked teams that go on the road as favorites vs unranked teams. After all every game matters in the race for the final four spots. All three of my week 12 college football lock picks have a shot at cracking the coveted top 4 by the season’s end and they will have their eye on the prize this week.
Ohio State goes against Minnesota after dominating rival Michigan State and Arizona State tackles Oregon State after thumping Notre Dame at home. Also in Week 12 is TCU versus Kansas in a game that gives Kansas a shot only if they move it from the football field to the basketball court.
My Week 12 Lock Picks – Bet These ATS Road Favorites
No. 7 Ohio State Buckeyes at Minnesota Golden Gophers
When: Saturday, Nov. 15 at 12:00 pm ET
Betting Line: Ohio State -12
Analysis: Minnesota is not a bad team. The Golden Gophers are 7 and 2 straight up and 4 and 2 against the spread at home, but Ohio State was just awesome versus Michigan State on the road in Week 11.
— FOX College Football (@CFBONFOX) November 10, 2014
The Buckeyes dominated the Spartans 49 to 37. They racked up a ridiculous 268 yards on the ground and a total of 568 yards overall. Ohio State looked like a national championship contender against a much superior team than Minnesota. Coach Urban Meyer won’t let his team take a day off and since Minnesota is giving up 38 points to teams like Purdue and 28 points to teams like Illinois, you have to figure that Ohio State rolls in this matchup.
My Week 12 Lock Pick: Ohio State -12
No. 5 Texas Christian Horned Frogs at Kansas Jayhawks
When: Saturday, Nov. 15 at 3:30 pm ET
TV: FOX Sports 1
Betting Line: TCU -28
Analysis: After beating Kansas State 41 to 20 in Week 11, TCU is now 8 and 1 against the spread this season. The Horned Frogs should be undefeated because the 58 to 61 loss to Baylor was a game that they had won. They let the Bears back into it.
TCU is just a very good team while Kansas most definitely is not. The Jayhawks are 3 and 6 straight up and 4 and 5 against the spread. They’ve gone 1 and 2 against the spread in their last 4 games and lost 14 to 60 to Baylor two games ago. Kansas State only averages 18 points and 352 yards per game while giving up 30 points and close to 440 yards per game on average.
TCU smells a spot in the College Football Playoff. Either Alabama or Mississippi State figures to get knocked out this Saturday. The Horned Frogs won’t let Kansas stand in their way. Expect TCU to score at least 50 to 60 points in this one.
My Week 12 Lock Pick: TCU -28
No. 8 Arizona State Sun Devils at Oregon State Beavers
When: Saturday, Nov. 15 at 10:45 pm ET
Betting Line: ASU -9
Analysis: ASU’s 55 to 31 domination of Notre Dame in the Valley of the Sun in Week 11 was as impressive of a performance as any college football team this season. ASU allowed the Irish to come storming back, Notre Dame actually cut the lead to 3 points, 34 to 31, but the Sun Devils stepped it up and scored the final 21 points to end Notre Dame’s quest for a spot in the College Football Playoff.
ASU’s defense is as good as it gets. It stomped Stanford, Washington and Utah, holding those 3 teams to 10 points, 10 points and 16 points respectively, and kept Notre Dame to only 3 points in the first half of the huge win.
— ESPN CollegeFootball (@ESPNCFB) November 11, 2014
Oregon State has gone 1 and 5 both straight up and 1 and 5 against the spread in their last 6 games. They have no shot at keeping this one close because ASU is just so much better than they are. The Sun Devils should dominate.
My Week 12 Lock Pick: Arizona State –9