With about a month left during the 2015 College Football regular season and action hasn’t been more ulcer inducing. Huge games abound in every conference. Below are my college football week 12’s top against the spread, over/under and moneyline picks.
Two of the biggest games of the year in the Big 12 show up on our picks article as does a huge game between rivals Arizona and Arizona State in the Pac 12 and a surprisingly important game between Memphis and Temple. Keep reading for my college football week 12 betting cheat sheet!
College Football Week 12 ATS Picks
Memphis at Temple
When: Saturday, Nov. 21 at 12:00 pm ET
Odds: Memphis -2
Analysis: 8 and 2 Memphis battles 8 and 2 Temple in a game for AAC supremacy. Memphis averages 541 yards and 43.7 points per game. By most accounts Paxton Lynch is going to be the first QB off the board in next April’s NFL Draft.
But, Temple has a very good defense. The Owls also have an offense that should control the flow of the game in this. Plus, Temple takes on Memphis at home.
No. 11 TCU at 7 Oklahoma
When: Saturday, Nov. 21 at 8:00 pm
Analysis: TCU sneaked by Kansas in Week 11 while Oklahoma proved that they’re the best team in the Big 12 by beating Baylor on the road. Oklahoma has a good shot to get into the Top 4 in the College Football Playoff.
They also might get another reprieve. TCU QB Trevone Boykin may or may not play. If he doesn’t, Oklahoma will have to cover a much larger spread than if he does play. No matter, the Sooner defense is allowing an average of 19.7 points and 336.1 yards per game.
No. 9 Michigan State at No. 2 Ohio State
When: Saturday, Nov. 21 at TBD
Odds: Ohio State -13
Analysis: Ohio State hasn’t played well all season long. In this matchup with Michigan State, the real Ohio State has a shot to step up and show the Selection Committee exactly how good they are.
Then again, they could fold after beating suspect competition all season long as a huge favorite. A lot of what happens in this game depends on the health of QB Connor Cook and the MSU defense. Cook is listed as probable. He’ll have to play smart in order for Michigan State to win this. As far as MSU’s defense is concerned, it finally played up to its lofty expectations in a 24 to 7 win over Maryland in MSU’s last. 13 are just too many points to give up.
Pick: Michigan State
College Football Week 12 Game Total Over/Under Picks
No. 10 Baylor at No. 4 Oklahoma State
When: Saturday, Nov. 21 at TBD
Analysis: Baylor’s defense is banged up, but the offense should go back to its high-scoring ways against an Oklahoma State defense that hasn’t played as well as it can in recent games. The Cowboys have allowed 53, 39 and 31 points in their last 3 games.
Baylor figures to reach at least 40 in this if not 50. The way for the Bears to win is to get into high-scoring affairs because their talented defense can’t hold up for 4 quarters due to injuries. This will be a shootout.
Arizona at Arizona State
When: Saturday, Nov. 21 at TBD pm ET
Analysis: Here’s another shootout. Every defense in the Pac 12 knows that the way to beat Arizona State is to force them to blitz and then to pick them apart by scoring points.
Arizona QB Anu Solomon is very good at beating the blitz. He led Arizona to a 37 to 30 win against Utah this past Saturday. Arizona’s defense allows an average of 454.1 yards and 30 points per game. Both defenses should fold early and often in this matchup.
Washington at Oregon State
When: Saturday, Nov. 21 at 6:00 pm ET
Analysis: This should be a total snooze fest from the outset. Both teams are going to rush the football. By snooze fest, it’s very likely that Washington pitches a shutout against the Beavers.
Oregon State averages 17.9 points and 335 yards per game. Neither is good enough for the Pac 12. Colorado beat Oregon State 13 to 17 a few games ago. UCLA beat Oregon State 41 to 0. Expect Washington to beat Oregon State somewhere around 21 to 28 to 0 in this.
College Football Week 12 Straight Up Moneyline Pick
UCLA at No. 18 Utah
When: Saturday, Nov. 21 at TBD
Odds: Utah -3
Analysis: This is an important battle for the Pac 12 South. Utah, UCLA and USC are all within a game of each other for the division lead. UCLA has a real shot of winning out and getting into the Pac 12 Championship.
Utah’s issues appear to be their inability to stop high-scoring teams. They played well against California. That feels like eons ago. Lately, the Utes couldn’t stop USC from scoring 42. They couldn’t stop Arizona from scoring 37.
UCLA’s Josh Rosen has finally put it together. He’s thrown for 6 touchdowns to 0 interceptions in UCLA’s last 4 games. He rushed for a 37 yard TD against Washington State this past Saturday. Go with the Bruins.
Mississippi State at Arkansas
Odds: Arkansas -3.5
When: Saturday, Nov. 21 at 7:00 pm ET
Analysis: The Arkansas Razorbacks have won 4 games in a row. Their biggest win occurred in Week 11 when they thumped LSU 31 to 14 on the road.
LSU’s Leonard Fournette may still win the Heisman Trophy. But, that will only be if he’s brilliant against Ole Miss and Texas A&M in LSU’s finally two regular season games. That’s how good the Arkansas defense was against LSU’s offense.
Mississippi State is a good team. The Bulldogs hung with Alabama as long as they could before breaking down and losing 6 to 31. Mississippi State will put up a fight. Why not pick them to end the Arkansas win streak?
Pick: Mississippi State
Tennessee at Missouri
When: Saturday, Nov. 21 at 7:15 pm ET
Odds: Missouri +9
Analysis: Missouri is playing without their coach who decided to resign due to health reasons. They were playing without their coach in Week 11 and they beat BYU 20 to 16.
Do the Tigers have a shot against the Tennessee Volunteers? They absolutely do. The defense is still one of the best in the SEC. It gives up less than 300 yards and less than 15 points per game on average. Tennessee has won three games in a row, but one win was versus Kentucky and the other two were wins at home against South Carolina and North Texas.
Missouri is the pick.