College Football Week 8 Upset Picks – Backing The UnderdogJosh Bailey
Week 8 of college football is already here. Some teams have moved on from early season losses while other teams are still fighting to remain relevant.
One of the teams fighting to remain relevant is Wisconsin. The team that used to be a perennial Top 20 team dropped 2 out of their first 7 games. Wisconsin hopes to impressively beat Illinois this Saturday in order to climb back into the running for a Big Ten Championship Game berth. Missouri is another team that hopes to keep its SEC Championship hopes alive by beating Vanderbilt this Saturday. Also on Saturday is a huge clash between Texas A&M and Ole Miss. Keep reading for my college football week 8 betting upset picks!
College Football Week 8 Upset Picks
Wisconsin (-7) at Illinois
When: Saturday, Oct. 24 at 3:30pm ET
Wisconsin beat Nebraska on the road 2 games ago 23 to 21. The Badgers played very well when scoring 23 against Nebraska’s defense while holding Nebraska’s offense to only 21 points. Versus Purdue, Wisconsin’s defense was excellent when holding the Boilermakers to only 7 points in a 24 to 7 win.
Wisconsin’s defense should play well again. It’s the Badgers’ offense that could lead to some trouble against Illinois’s defense in this tough matchup on Saturday. The Badgers have scored points in their last 2 games, but scoring points against bad defenses is different than scoring points against a good defense.
Nebraska allows an average of 432.7 yards and 24 points per game. Purdue allows an average of 428.7 yards and 32.9 points per game. Wisconsin’s offense failed to hit the averages in points scored against both Nebraska and Purdue in their wins. Illinois’ defense allows 332.5 yards and 19.7 points per game on average.
The Badgers will have trouble scoring against Illinois’ defense. Illinois may have trouble scoring against Wisconsin’s defense, but in a game that could be decided by a field goal but where the spread is over 6 points, take the dog on the moneyline.
Missouri (-3) at Vanderbilt
When: Saturday, Oct. 24 at 4:00 pm ET
The battle between Mizzou and Vandy on Saturday figures to be another game where both teams are fighting for every single point that they can get. Missouri’s defense has been rock solid so far this season. No opponent has scored more than 21 points against Missouri’s defense.
The Tigers have serious issues on offense, though. Mizzou averages less than 17 points per game. Missouri has lost 13 to 21 to Kentucky, 3 to 21 to Florida and 6 to 9 to Georgia this season.
Vanderbilt’s offense isn’t great. It is good enough to average 400 yards and 19 points per game. Vandy’s defense is allowing 18.5 points and 338 yards per matchup. Missouri will have trouble scoring against Vandy’s D. With the points at a premium, the home team figures to come out on top.
#16 Texas A&M at #24 Ole Miss (-6)
When: Saturday, Oct. 24 at 7:00 pm ET
Texas A&M lost 23 to 41 to last week because the Aggies’ defense couldn’t stop running back Derrick Henry. Henry rushed for 236 yards from 32 attempts. He averaged 7.4 yards per carry.
Ole Miss’ offense doesn’t have a running back as good as Derrick Henry. In fact, the Rebels’ best rusher, Jaylen Walton, has rushed for only 331 yards this season. Walton is questionable to make this game on Saturday.
The Rebels are a mess of a team. After running out to a 14 to 0 lead against Memphis as a close to 10 point favorite last week, Ole Miss gave up 37 points and ended up losing 37 to 24. The Rebels are going to be in worse shape this Saturday because DL Robert Nkemdiche may be out due to a concussion.
Expect Texas A&M to bounce back with a big win over Ole Miss on Oct. 24.
Pick: Texas A&M