We’re already at Week 9 in College Football. Even though a lot of top teams are on byes including Alabama, LSU and Baylor, there is still enough football action to find at least three against the spread lock picks.
The first lock occurs in the Western Kentucky at Old Dominion game. Western Kentucky looked poised to give LSU a run for its money until the Tigers got to the Hilltoppers in the final quarter of that battle. In the other two lock games, Florida travels to Georgia to take on the once mighty Bulldogs while Michigan travels to Minnesota to take on the Gophers.
A Closer Look At My College Football Week 9 Five ? Lock Picks
Western Kentucky at Old Dominion
When: Saturday, Oct. 31 at 10:30pm ET
Odds: Western Kentucky -23
Analysis: Western Kentucky was ready to cut the LSU lead to 7 points in their game versus one of the top teams in the nation last Saturday. The Hilltoppers had just secured an onside kick and had all of the momentum.
But, LSU shut down the Hilltoppers’ offense from scoring on that drive. That pretty much ended Western Kentucky’s hopes of upsetting LSU. The Tigers rolled to a 28 points victory after that.
The Hilltoppers face a cupcake in Old Dominion this Saturday. The Monarchs haven’t won a game straight up or covered a spread this season. Western Kentucky is averaging 41 points a game while Old Dominion is averaging 18.9 points per. The Hilltoppers should roll to an easy ATS cover.
Pick: Western Kentucky
No. 11 Florida at Georgia
When: Saturday, Oct. 31 at 3:30 pm ET
Odds: Florida -3.5
Analysis: Georgia has lost 2 out of its last 3 football games. What’s more disturbing is that the Bulldogs are 2 and 5 ATS on the season. Georgia is 0 and 4 against the spread in their last 4 games. They‘ve only covered spreads versus the University of Louisiana-Monroe and South Carolina.
The Bulldogs got lucky against Missouri in their last game, a 9 to 6 win as a -15.5 point favorite. Georgia was supposed to destroy Missouri.
Florida is favored over the Bulldogs in this matchup. The Gators should be. Florida took a week off after their 28 to 35 loss to LSU in their game on Oct. 17. They’ll be well-rested to put a beat down on Georgia who just doesn’t have the skill players on offense to keep up with Florida’s offense.
Florida’s defense is also much better than Georgia’s. This could be a blow-out win for the Gators on Saturday.
No. 15 Michigan at Minnesota
When: Saturday, Oct. 31 at 8:00 pm ET
Odds: Michigan -13.5
Analysis: Minnesota has been a huge disappointment this season. The Gophers returned quite a few players on defense. They should have been one of the tougher teams in the Big Ten. After their 17 to 23 loss to TCU in Week 1, many believed that Minnesota would be one of the surprise teams in the Big Ten.
But, then, they started Big Ten play and things have fallen apart. Minnesota has lost to Northwestern and Nebraska in 2 out of their last 3 games. They play a hungry, angry, Michigan squad on Saturday.
The Wolverines let a victory over rival Michigan State slip from their grasps in their last battle. Instead of downing the ball and leaving roughly 10 seconds left on the clock, Coach Jim Harbaugh decided to kick the ball away. The Spartans blocked it and ran it back for a game winning touchdown.
Expect Michigan to come out and take no prisoners in this. The Wolverines had a week to ponder what could have been. Harbaugh is too good of a coach to have let that happen. Michigan will roll in this matchup.