Early 2016 College Football Season Win Total Odds

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Early 2016 College Football Season Win Total Odds

The 2016 odds on the college football season win totals are out. As to be expected the 2 finalists for the College Football Playoff Championship last season, Alabama and Clemson, have a high bar this season. Clemson is at 10 wins while Alabama is at 9.5 wins.

Also facing a high bar are Florida State, Oklahoma and Tennessee. All 3 of those teams have 10 win totals. Notre Dame, LSU, and Michigan are next. Michigan and LSU have 9.5 win totals while Notre Dame has a 9 win total. Ohio State is expected to take a step back. The Buckeyes are listed at 8.5 total wins for the season. See below for my opinions!

A Closer Look At The 2016 College Football Season Win Total Odds

Clemson 10 (-120o) – DeShaun Watson back at QB is huge. But, let’s be honest… the defense won’t be anywhere near as great as it was in 2015 after losing ends Kevin Dodd and Shaq Lawson. I just don’t see the Tigers beating Florida State for the ACC Championship. I’m going Even.

Alabama 9.5 – Tackle Cam Robinson getting suspended, which should happen, is a big deal. Robinson was being counted on to anchor the Tide’s offensive line. That’s not a good thing when you’re breaking in a new QB and replacing a Heisman Trophy winning RB. But the defense is still going to be awesome. This is particularly true because defensive tackle Jonathan Allen returns. I think Alabama goes Over.

FSU 10 (-120o) – 3 starters return to the offensive line if Coach Jimbo Fisher wants them to be starters. What that means is that Fisher has a lot of talent along the offensive line. That’s a good thing because RB Dalvin Cook should challenge for the Heisman Trophy this season. The defense will be good like it always is while the quarterback battle brewing in Tallahassee between Sean Maguire and true freshman Malik Henry is a question of which talented player to start. I love FSU this season. Over.

Okla 10 (-130u) – The Big 12 is weaker this season; both TCU and Baylor lost too much, TCU on offense and Baylor on defense, to challenge Oklahoma. The Sooners return Heisman Trophy candidate Baker Mayfield along with a better offensive line. Like always, Oklahoma will be deep at running back while the defense is stocked. The D might be better this season than it was last season. I think that the Sooners end up in the College Football Playoff. So, I’m going Over.

LSU 9.5 (-140o) – Wow. -140 to the over are difficult odds to swallow. Then again, Alabama won’t have the same team as last season. Neither will Ole Miss. Maybe, the SEC West just won’t be as difficult for the Tigers to navigate as it was in 2015. But LSU doesn’t have anybody to play QB. Handing the ball off to Leonard Fournette all night is not going to beat Alabama. So, I can’t put them ahead of Alabama in the SEC West. I’m going Under.

Michigan 9.5 (-120o) – Michigan’s got a super weak schedule. Their first 7 games are against Hawaii, UCF, Colorado, Penn State, Wisconsin, Rutgers, and Illinois. What it means is that they only have to win 3 of 5 against Michigan State, Maryland, Iowa, Indiana and Ohio State in order to get 10 wins. I think the Wolverines could run the table this season. Over.

Ohio St 8.5 (-115o) – The Buckeyes biggest issue won’t be replacing RB Ezekiel Elliott. Yes, Elliott is a special talent, but in college football it’s always more difficult to replace a star offensive lineman like Taylor Decker and star defensive backs like Eli Apple and Vonn Bell than it is replacing star skill players. Still, I don’t see how an Urban Meyer coached team doesn’t win 9 games. The schedule is tougher with road games against Oklahoma, Wisconsin, Michigan State and Penn State. But, if the Buckeyes can beat 2 of those 4 teams on the road, they should win 9 games. Over.

Notre Dame 9 (-125u) – 9 games make Notre Dame possibly the top pick on this list to go over. The defense lost Jaylon Smith. The offense lost the great Ronnie Stanley at tackle and the terrific WR Will Fuller. But the schedule is a cake walk compared to last season. No team on Notre Dame’s schedule, not even Stanford or USC, is considered a Top 10 team this season. Michigan State lost a lot and the Irish don’t play Florida State. I love the Over.  

Tennessee 10 – I was all set to go under the total with the Tennessee Volunteers until I took a long look at the schedule. Wow. The schedule makers sure made it easy for the Vols, didn’t they? Think about it. Their road games are against Georgia, Texas A&M, South Carolina and, of course, Vanderbilt. I do believe that Tennessee could have some trouble versus Georgia on the road. They’ll have some trouble against Alabama at home. But they take on a bunch of bad teams otherwise. I don’t see how this team doesn’t get to 10 wins. Over.

The Early List Of 2016 College Football Season Win Totals:

PROGRAM PROJECTED WIN TOTAL
Clemson 10 (-120 over)
Florida State 10 (-120 over)
Tennessee 10
Oklahoma 10 (-130 under)
Alabama 9.5
LSU 9.5 (-140 over)
Michigan 9.5 (-120 over)
Houston 9 (-150 under)
Notre Dame 9 (125 under)
Baylor 9 (-125 under)
UCLA 9 (-120 over)
Michigan State 9 (-135 under)
Louisville 9
Ohio State 8.5 (-115 over)
Georgia 8.5 (-145 over)
Oregon 8.5 (-120 under)
TCU 8.5 (-125 under)
Oklahoma State 8.5 (-130 under)
TCU 8.5 (-125 under)
Oklahoma State 8.5 (-130 under)
Stanford 8 (-130 under)
Florida 8 (-125 under)
Mississippi 7.5 (-115 under)
USC 7.5 (-120 over)
Auburn 7 (-120 over)
UNLV 4.5 (-130 over)