The Famous Idaho Potato Bowl betting line is a straight pick ‘em that only slightly favor the San Diego State Aztecs at -1.0. Part of the reasoning there is that they’re from the Mountain West Conference, one of the mid-major groupings on the college landscape that is inching towards becoming a bigger deal every year. However, this is a matchup nightmare for the Aztecs as they clash with Buffalo.
It will be hard for some of the MAC gamblers out there to steer clear of Buffalo, who went 8-4 SU and ATS on the season and were a nice little fringe play on most weeks. They were, however, a little temperamental against the betting line in their last three games, going just 1-2 SU and ATS with a chance to bust in to the conference title game hanging in the balance when they were thrashed by Bowling Green 7-24. Still, this is a well balanced team, but they’re not entering this matchup with any type of momentum either which is important to keep in mind when attacking the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl betting line.
Branden Oliver is the cow bell for the Bulls, having rushed for 1,421 yards and 15 touchdowns. He was pretty much the only reason that the Bulls were remotely competitive this season, as this team piled up 171.9 yards per game on the ground thanks to his hard work. Oliver might have plenty of room to run against an Aztecs defense that is likely going to be the sole reason to side against San Diego State in Famous Idaho Potato Bowl betting.
The Aztecs surrendered 134.7 yards per game rushing, which is pretty good all things considered, but they were also meek guardians of the end zone at best in allowing 32.3 points per game. They also surrendered 76 points in their last two games while pushing four games in to over time throughout the course of the year. Everyone took shots at the Aztecs, and most of the time they hit more than they missed.
San Diego State’s middling 7-5 SU and 6-6 ATS record made them a fidgety bet at best, which is pretty much what you can expect from them in Famous Idaho Potato Bowl betting. Offensively, they don’t excel at any one thing in particular and their shoddy defense is a big reason to back away from them in general. The Aztecs amassed just 28.2 points per game on 422 total yards on average. Quarterback Quinn Kaehler was pedestrian with just 2,796 yards and while Adam Muema picked up 1,015 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns, the UNLV Rebels offered a stifling game plan to stop both of them.
Buffalo has the defensive pieces to stop Kaehler and limit Muema’s effectiveness, and they have a powerful rushing attack built around Oliver that can grind the Aztecs in to a fine paste. That’s why you should hedge the UNDER in this game as well, while backing the Bulls.