Florida State Vs Miami Spread & Expert ATS Pick

Week 11 College Football Upset Picks

Florida State Vs Miami Spread & Expert ATS Pick

The Week 6 college football betting line favors 10th-ranked Miami when they host 23rd-ranked Florida State in an important, key matchup in the ACC. The game kicks-off on Saturday, October 8th at 8:00 PM from Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL. 

Florida State vs. Miami football is one of the great rivalries in all of college sports. The Seminoles have won the last 6 games and haven’t lost to the Hurricanes under Jimbo Fisher, but the Canes are coming in undefeated and ranked 10th in the nation.

Florida State Seminoles Vs Miami Hurricanes Spread & Expert ATS Pick

Miami is undefeated at 4-0 both straight up and against the spread. Florida State is 3-2 straight up. The Seminoles are also 3-2 ATS.

What: No. 23 Florida State Seminoles (3-2) at No. 10 Miami Hurricanes (4-0)
When: Saturday, October 8, 2016
Start Time: 8:00 PM ET  
Where: Miami, FL
Stadium: Hard Rock Stadium
Spread: Miami -2.5
Moneyline: Florida State +115 vs Miami (-135)
Game Total: 66
Watch: ABC
Stream: Watch ESPN
Listen: Florida State vs Miami

Bet on Florida State +3 Because…

Florida State’s offense is one of the best in the nation. The Seminoles average 508.8 yards per game. They average 268.4 passing yards per. They average 240.4 rushing yards per. FSU scores 41.4 points per game. Plus, Florida State has scored against tough teams this season. They put up 45 versus Ole Miss, 55 against South Florida and 35 against North Carolina.

Bet on Miami -3 Because…

Miami has one of the best defenses in the nation, not just the ACC, based on stats. The Hurricanes allow an average of 11 points per game. That ranks second in the country. Teams average a seventh ranked in the nation 253.2 total yards per game against Miami’s defense. Opponents rush for an average of 115.5 yards per game against Miami. They pass for an average of 137.8 yards per game against Miami. The defense is terrific.

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction

Mark Richt has turned Miami into one of the best college football teams in the nation. Although Miami hasn’t played a team the caliber of Florida State yet, they have beaten two well-coached, tough teams on the road in Appalachian State and Georgia Tech. In both of those games, Miami didn’t just win, they covered the spread. The Hurricanes trounced Appalachian State 45 to 10 on the road. They beat Georgia Tech 35 to 21 as a -7.5 road favorite.

The trends favor Florida State in this game. I’m going against the trends. From my perspective, one program, Miami’s, is moving forward at a lightning speed pace. The other program, Florida State’s, is taking steps backward.

I love Miami to cover the spread in this game. Richt’s team is going to show the world, much like Louisville did a few weeks ago against Florida State, that there is a new team to deal with in the ACC and that the conference isn’t all about FSU and Clemson.

My final score prediction is Miami 42, Florida State 24.