The Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl betting line presents a pretty intriguing problem. On one side, you have Bo Wallace and the Rebels who went 7-5 SU and 6-6 ATS in the SEC which should give them automatic respect over their opponent. But the ACC was very competitive this season, and Georgia Tech hammered out a 7-5 SU record of their own with a 5-6-1 ATS run of their own. These were two frustrating betting teams and this hallow line is presenting a bit of a headache.
Mississippi notched some very good games this season, besting LSU in a 27-24 upset as +9.5 dogs while also decimating Texas 44-23 earlier in the year. They also gave Auburn a serious run for their money in a 22-30 loss, and followed that up with a three point loss against Texas A&M in a shootout. Unfortunately, as the season went on, teams slowly but surely figured out how to contain the Rebels, which is also what I expect Georgia Tech to do against the Music City Bowl betting line.
Quarterback Bo Wallace was sensational at the beginning of the year, but regressed near the tail end. He still posted a whopping 3,090 passing yards but was limited to 17 passing touchdowns while tossing 9 picks. He also added 4 touchdowns on the ground. In his last two games, Missouri and Mississippi State bottled up Wallace. He threw 244 yards and a pick against the former, while throwing just 182 yards and 3 picks against the latter.
You can’t talk about Georgia Tech without mentioning their unique triple option attack. This offence scored 36.6 points per game, while allowing just 22.7 against, but were a bit of a mess in the second half, going just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games. That included blowout losses to Clemson, BYU, Miami and Virginia Tech. The idea here is that the triple option became easy to dissect towards the end of the season, and people are leaning away from Georgia Tech because Mississippi will have a whole month to prepare for the attack.
At the same time, that gives the Jackets just as much time to come up with new ways to score. This is an athletic team that can definitely solve the problems they had towards the end of the year, and their defense is opportunistic enough to cave in on the downward spiraling Wallace. The Music City Bowl betting line doesn’t offer a lot of wiggle room, but I think the mistake prone Wallace will bury the Rebels as Georgia Tech runs away with this game figuratively and literally.