LSU will try and move up in the College Football Playoff rankings on Saturday by beating one of its chief rivals in the SEC, Arkansas. After the stunning 16 to 30 loss to Alabama this past Saturday, LSU is going to have to be very impressive in order to move up the rankings.
The college football week 11 line favors the LSU Tigers by 7.5-points to beat the Hogs. Arkansas will be looking for their fourth straight victory on Nov. 14. Can the Razorbacks do it? Or, will LSU come up big in the first game after suffering in Tuscaloosa in Week 10?
A Closer Look At How To Bet The Arkansas Razorbacks Vs LSU Tigers College Football Week 11 Line
What: Arkansas Razorbacks (5-4) at No. 9 LSU Tigers (7-1)
When: Saturday, November 14, 2015
Kickoff: 7:15 PM ET
Where: Baton Rouge, LA
Stadium: Tiger Stadium (LA)
Weather: 63° F | Scattered Clouds
Spread: LSU -7.5
Moneyline: Arkansas +270 vs LSU -330
Game Total: 55
Stream: Watch ESPN
Listen: Arkansas vs LSU
Why Bet On Arkansas to Beat #9 LSU (-7.5)
Outside of Dak Prescott, no SEC quarterback is playing better than Razorback Brandon Allen right now and LSU has 19 or more points in every game this season.
Arkansas has really hit its stride as a football team. The Razorbacks were terrible early on in the season. After beating UTEP 48 to 13 in their first game, Arkansas ended up losing 3 games in a row. Since then, the Razorbacks have won 4 out of their last 5. Their only loss was 14 to 27 to Alabama as a +15 point dog.
Arkansas’ best performance of the season came last Saturday with a stunning 53 to 52 overtime win over Ole Miss on the road. Ole Miss was a 7.5 point home favorite. The play seen around the world, where Arkansas had to convert a long fourth down and involved a backwards lateral to a player shows the confidence that Arkansas has right now.
Arkansas is flying high. They’re winning games with their offense, like against Ole Miss, and with their defense, like when holding Tennessee to only 20 points in a 24 to 20 road win.
What’s more impressive is that the Razorbacks are gaining nearly 70 yards more per game compared to a year ago and averaging 34.8 points — up from 31.9 last season.
“Our whole thing has been, ‘Let’s become a very good passing team,'” first-year coordinator Dan Enos said. “Creating balance is good for our group and gives our guys confidence. … The better balance that you have, the better offense you are.”
Why Bet On #9 LSU (-7.5) to Beat Arkansas
LSU has beaten Arkansas in nine of their last 10 meetings at Tiger Stadium.
Last week the Tigers lost heir first game of the season. Is life after losing to Alabama, as hard as it may be to stomach a fifth straight loss to the rival Crimson Tide.
“If you stay once-beaten, you just can never tell what will happen,” coach Les Miles asserted. “This is a really good team with a lot to play for. Putting that (Alabama) game behind us is a necessity. This football team will put itself in a position to play another game of significance.”
LSU’s best chance of beating Arkansas is to run the ball with Fournette. Fournette had been a remarkably consistent running back until the Alabama game. Alabama held Fournette to only 31 rushing yards. The Tigers averaged 2.1 yards per carry against Alabama’s front seven.
Fournette didn’t get much help from the rest of the offense and the Tigers were out-gained 434-182 in total yards. LSU came in averaging 309 rushing yards and finished with 54.
“We didn’t play our best against Alabama and the players and coaches know it,” Miles said. “But, win or lose, there’s a 48-hour window. … Letting that game define us is something I am not going to let happen.”
LSU should have a lot more success rushing the football against Arkansas on Nov. 14. Up until the Alabama game, Fournette’s lowest per carry average in a game was 5.7. That was in LSU’s first game of the season against Mississippi State. In four games this season, Fournette has averaged around 8 yards or more per carry.
Arkansas’ defense isn’t close to being as capable of stopping the rush as Alabama’s is. While Alabama allows 75.8 rushing yards per game, Arkansas’ defense allows 129.4 rushing yards per game. LSU’s Fournette should be able to reach close to 200 yards on the ground against the Razorbacks.
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction
LSU isn’t the type of team to cry all week about losing to Alabama. The Tigers know that they are better than what they showed against the Tide. LSU has a conservative but big-play passing game that is likely to hit for some chunk plays against an Arkansas pass defense that remains one of the worst in the country.
Although the Arkansas defense has improved in recent weeks, it is still vulnerable against the SEC’s more powerful teams. For instance, it yielded 396 yards of total offense to Alabama and 590 to Ole Miss. The Hogs have, in its past two SEC games, played a total of five overtimes in beating Auburn and Ole Miss.
I expect LSU to end Arkansas’ winning streak this Saturday. My final score prediction is LSU 38, Arkansas 28.