It’s unlikely that Michigan makes it all the way to the College Football Playoff Top 4. But, the Wolverines definitely have a shot to get a bid to a New Year’s Day Bowl Game.
Michigan can’t make any mistakes against a tough Penn State team this Saturday. The college football week 12 betting line favors Michigan by 5-points to be Penn State Will the Nittany Lions take it to the Wolverines or will Michigan take care of business?
A Closer Look At The Michigan Wolverines Vs Penn State Nittany Lions College Football Week 12 Spread & Betting Preview
What: No. 14 Michigan Wolverines (8-2) at Penn State Nittany Lions (7-3)
When: Saturday, November 21, 2015
Kickoff: 12:00 PM ET
Where: University Park, PA
Stadium: Beaver Stadium
Weather: 48° F | Partly Cloud
Spread: Michigan -5
Moneyline: Michigan -210 vs Penn State +175
Game Total: 42.5
Stream: Watch ESPN
Listen: Michigan vs Penn State
Bet The No. 14 Michigan Wolverines Line at -5 Because…
The Wolverines are 1-3 ATS on the road this season, 2-6-1 since last season.
The shine is off of Michigan’s defense. Earlier in the season, Michigan’s D was one of the tops in the nation. The Wolverine’s gave up a total of 14 points in a 5 game stretch.
Since then, the Wolverines have allowed a total of 110 points in 4 games. Even with the issue of allowing points, the Michigan D is still capable of stopping a lackluster Penn State offense. The Nittany Lions average only 350.3 yards per game. Penn State averages only 25.2 points per game. If Michigan’s defense is able to shut down Penn State’s offense, they might be able to win this important road game on Nov. 21.
In the last two games, the Wolverines have averaged 534.0 yards of offense after posting a 358.6 mark through their first eight. They will have to fight hard to hit that number this weekend. The Nittany Lions are yet to allow 300 yards at home for an average of 250.7, though all of their tougher opponents have come on the road.
“We’ve come along as an offense,” tight end A.J. Williams said. “We’ve been able to connect a lot better and a lot more and you’re starting to see the results of that.”
Bet The Penn State Nittany Lions Line at +5 Because…
The Nittany Lions are 4-2 ATS at home this season, 8-5 since last season.
Even though Penn State’s offense hasn’t been as electrifying as it often times needs to be to win football games, the Nittany Lions defense has been brilliant this season. Penn State has one of the top defenses in the Big Ten.
“As a coach you want to run as many plays, full speed,” coach James Franklin said. “There’s a part of you that thinks that’s the right thing to do. And then there’s the part of you that’s looking down the table at your trainer and what he thinks we should be doing.”
The Nittany Lions allow 17.7 points per game. Opponents average only 311.2 yards per game versus the Lions. Penn State’s terrific defense is even better when playing teams at home. Penn State is 4 and 2 against the spread at home because of their defense. The D has given up only 14 points to Buffalo, 3 points to Rutgers, 7 points to Indiana, and 0 points to Illinois this season.
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction
It’s the Nittany Lions’ defense that could end Michigan’s quest for a trip to a New Year’s Day Bowl Game. Penn State’s D is almost impossible to beat in home games. Michigan could be sitting on a straight up loss in this.
The Nittany Lions have dropped their last three against ranked opponents but have won their previous three home meetings with Michigan. My final score prediction is Penn State 23, Michigan 17.