With their dreams of reaching the College Football Playoff now vanquished, the 12th-ranked Baylor Bears will look to finish off their 2015 regular season in style when they host the Texas Longhorns in a Week 14 Big 12 battle that now has a much different look than it would have just a few weeks ago.
The college football week 14 betting line favors the Bears by three touchdowns to beat the Longhorns. Now, let’s find out if Baylor can cash in while sending their Big 12 rivals into the offseason with a loss.
A Closer Look At How To Bet The Texas Longhorns Vs Baylor Bears College Football Week 14 Line
What: Texas Longhorns (4-7) at No. 12 Baylor Bears (9-2)
When: Saturday, December 5, 2015
Kickoff: 12:00 PM ET
Where: Waco, TX
Stadium: McLane Stadium
Weather: 60° F | More Sun Than Clouds
Spread: Baylor -20.5
Moneyline: Texas +685 vs Baylor -1429
Stream: Watch ESPN
Listen: Texas vs Baylor
Bet The Texas Longhorns at +20.5 Because…
The Texas Longhorns (4-7 SU, 4-7 ATS) have lost two in a row and come into their regular season finale off a heartbreaking 48-45 loss against Texas Tech on Saturday while failing t cover the spread as a 1-point home favorite.
The good news is that the Horns have been playing really competitive football as of late and will face a Baylor team that saw its third-string quarterback struggle immensely the last time out.
Texas signal-caller Tyrone Swoopes replaced redshirt freshman quarterback Jerrod Heard after the starter suffered a head injury in the second quarter.
The Longhorns’ latest loss gave head coach Charlie Strong his second straight losing campaign.
"You’re looking at a young group. I think they will bounce back and learn and will only make them stronger," Strong said. "I was proud of how hard our players kept fighting, that’s what you want to see."
The Horns got a stupendous effort from running back Chris Warren III as the freshman rushed for an insane 276 yards and four touchdowns on 25 carries.
"I told Chris Warren `I guarantee you will have a breakout game," Strong said. "We knew what we had with him. Just a big strong physical runner."
Unfortunately, Swoopes was limited to just 9 of 18 passing for 52 yards and one interception. The Longhorns also allowed Texas Tech running back DeAndre Washington to rush for 172 yards and two scores in the loss.
— FOX College Football (@CFBONFOX) November 6, 2015
— Bruce Feldman (@BruceFeldmanCFB) November 6, 2015
Bet The Baylor Bears at -20.5 Because…
The Baylor Bears (9-2 SU, 5-6 ATS) may have lost any chance they had of winning a national championship by losing to conference rival TCU 28-21 in two overtimes on Saturday, but now, they’ll look to reach the double-digit win mark for the fourth time in the last five seasons.
With starting running back Shock Linwood out, backup running back Devin Chafin led the Bears with 119 yards and two scores on 26 carries, third-string quarterback Chris Johnson was limited to 7-for-24 passing for just 62 yards in the loss. Baylor allowed TCU Heisman Trophy candidate Trevone Boykin to toss two touchdown passes while rushing for another.
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction
I don’t think there’s any way that the Baylor Bears fail to cover the spread in this Big 12 battle, but I also don’t believe the Bears can cover the spread as huge double-digit home favorites in this contest behind their third-string quarterback.
First and foremost, Texas has looked a lot better ever since they named young signal-caller Jerrod Heard as the team’s unquestioned starter about midway through the season and they’ve been pretty competitive ever since.
The Longhorns have lost their last two games by a combined five points and Baylor doesn’t have quite the same explosive offense now that they’re down to their third-string quarterback.
Texas may be just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games and 0-5 ATS in their last five road games and Heard may not start for them in this contest, but Baylor is just 1-4 ATS in their last five games and 2-4 ATS in their last half-dozen home games while the road team in this Big 12 rivalry has gone 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.
I know the Longhorns aren’t in the same caliber of elite programs that the Bears are right now, but I like them to cover the spread as huge road dogs so I’m going against the 55 percent of the betting public that likes Baylor!